Polygraph

Episode 5768: Live From Ohio; New Polling Out Of Texas; The Trans Fight In Colorado

Bannon`s War Room, Checked

Polygraph score
81Holds up26 claims checked
Details
What it claims
6 false3 mixed18 can’t tell23 true
How it argues
Nothing found
How it persuades
Nothing found
What it’s built on
Nothing found
Bannon`s War RoomOct 28, 2026
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Bannon`s War RoomEpisode 5768: Live From Ohio; New Polling Out Of Texas; The Trans Fight In ColoradoWhole episode, 54:45
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50 claims

What it claims

Claims

  1. 1TrueNew polling data has been released regarding the state of Texas.Multiple polls on the Texas race were published before and around 2026-10-28, including UH Hobby School (Oct 18), Emerson/Nexstar (Oct 22), Cook Political Report (Oct 21), TPOR (Oct 23), and Texas Southern University (Oct 29), so new polling data on Texas had been released as of the claim date. The claim is generic and faithful to the passage's 'New Polling Out Of Texas' headline; the post's date and the claim's date align, and later polls do not change the picture as of 2026-10-28.4 sources →

    ▶ 13:44

  2. 2TrueThere is a political conflict regarding transgender issues in Colorado.The sources as of 2026-10-28 show a live political fight over transgender issues in Colorado: Propositions 134 and 135 on the November 2026 ballot would restrict transgender youth sports and surgeries, over 80 mostly Republican candidates pledged support, and Democratic lawmakers like Rep. Brianna Titone are campaigning against the measures. The claim is a general, broadly phrased assertion that the post's own topic ('The Trans Fight In Colorado') supports, and the extraction does not add figures or actors the passage lacks.6 sources →
  3. 3TrueDonald Trump has won more than 60% of the vote in Ross County, Ohio, in three straight presidential elections.Ross County's certified-style vote counts show Trump above 60% of the total vote in 2016 (61.0%), 2020 (66.8%) and 2024 (69.0%), so the claim holds. The county-level figures come mainly from lower-credibility compilations, though the 2020 totals match an independent state-results page, and the 2016 margin is narrow.7 sources →

    ▶ 0:49

  4. 4TrueNo Republican has ever won the White House without winning Ohio.The claim is a faithful paraphrase of the post, and multiple reliable sources state that no Republican has won the White House without carrying Ohio in the general election, including AP's 2024 race coverage. The only counterpoint, from Fortune, concerns Ohio primaries rather than general-election wins, so it does not contradict the claim as made.8 sources →

    ▶ 1:44

  5. 5TrueDonald Trump has won Ohio three times in presidential elections.Multiple independent sources (AP race call, NBC News, WOSU, Dispatch) confirm Trump carried Ohio in 2016, 2020, and 2024, which is three presidential wins in the state. The extracted claim matches the passage's own statement and the sources support it directly.7 sources →

    ▶ 1:48

  6. 6Can’t tellLocal television stations in Cleveland, Ohio, did not feature the President's rally as the top story on October 28, 2026.No source reports how Cleveland local TV stations ranked the October 28, 2026 Trump rally in their newscasts, so the central claim cannot be graded. The only account of the ranking is the claimant's own podcast remarks, which are not evidence, and the claim's Cleveland focus is narrower than the post's broader Ohio framing.6 sources →

    ▶ 4:45

  7. 7TrueThe Democratic Party's campaign strategy in Ohio is focused on criticizing Donald Trump regarding gas prices and the war.Sources show Ohio Democrats centering their campaign on Trump-linked gas prices and the Iran war, alongside broader affordability themes. The Signal Ohio report says the Democratic ticket 'aggressively attacked the current president,' and Rep. Russo's release ties gas prices to the war. Coverage also notes that gubernatorial candidate Amy Acton did not mention Trump and that Senate candidate Sherrod Brown leans on affordability and tax themes, so the focus is broader than gas and war alone. The post itself is the speaker's opinion and is not evidence.6 sources →

    ▶ 6:30

  8. 8TrueThe election is scheduled for November 3, 2026.Multiple tier1 sources confirm that the 2026 U.S. midterm general election is scheduled for Tuesday, November 3, 2026, which matches the post's reference to "three November" as the election date. The claim faithfully reflects the passage and the sources support it directly.8 sources →

    ▶ 7:53

  9. 9Can’t tellThe President is not using Marine One to travel because the White House is being prepared for a children's Halloween special.The sources confirm the White House Halloween event was announced for October 29, 2026 and took place as scheduled, but none addresses whether the President traveled by Marine One on or around October 28 or why. The claim that Marine One was avoided because of Halloween preparations is therefore not checkable against these sources. The extraction matches the passage, which itself offers this as a passing remark.7 sources →

    ▶ 10:53

  10. 10TrueOhio has collected 1.3 million ballots so far, with 392,000 for Democrats, 340,000 for Republicans, and 550,000 for independents.As of Oct. 28-29, 2026, Ohio's early vote figures closely match the claim: a Secretary of State-based report gives 392,361 Democratic, 339,115 Republican, and 557,614 unaffiliated votes, and another report says nearly 1.3 million Ohioans had voted early or returned absentee ballots. One report puts the total at about 1.19 million, and the Oct. 27 snapshot was only over 1 million, so the total depends on the date and outlet, and the figures are secondary-outlet reports rather than the state's own release. The extraction matches the post.5 sources →

    ▶ 11:29

  11. 11TrueReal Clear Politics polling for Ohio puts Amy Acton at 49% and Vivek Ramaswamy at 44%.As of the October 28 posting, Newsweek reported the RealClearPolling Ohio governor average at Acton 48.6% and Ramaswamy 44.3%, which rounds to the claimed 49% and 44%. The claim is slightly imprecise, since the average was a rolling figure and the RCP page's later snapshot (49.6% to 44.9%) falls outside the claimed rounding, but the claim's figures match the record within rounding on the posting date.4 sources →

    ▶ 12:09

  12. 12MixedReal Clear Politics polling for the Ohio Senate race puts Jared Brown at 48% and John Husted at 45%.The RealClearPolitics average figures match the sources: a RealClearPolling average of Brown 48.2% and Husted 44.9% as of October 27, 2026, consistent with the claim's 48% and 45%. However, the Democratic candidate is Sherrod Brown, not 'Jared Brown' as the claim (and the passage) says, and the Republican is Jon Husted, so the claim misidentifies one candidate's name, which the sources contradict.Minor detail. The sources confirm the claim; only a minor detail differs, such as a name's spelling, a title's wording or a rounding.7 sources →

    ▶ 12:16

  13. 13TrueEarly voting in Texas ends on October 30.Texas early in-person voting for the November 3, 2026 election runs October 19 through October 30, 2026, so the claim that it ends October 30 was accurate as of the October 28 posting. The claim matches the post's own statement that early voting runs out on Friday the 30th, and the Texas-specific scope is supported.6 sources →

    ▶ 14:09

  14. 14TrueBirch Gold Group has an A-plus rating with the Better Business Bureau.The Better Business Bureau's own profile for Birch Gold Group, published 2026-10-23, shows an A+ rating, and an independent USA Today review from May 2026 also reports the A+ rating. The claim was accurate as of its 2026-10-28 posting date, and the sources show no later change; the rating is paired with mixed recent customer reviews, which does not contradict the rating itself.6 sources →

    ▶ 15:37

  15. 15TrueThe New York Times published a story alleging that a fake candidate named Dan Sullivan was created to run against Senator Dan Sullivan in Alaska.The New York Times published a October 28, 2026 investigation alleging that Peltola-aligned operatives recruited a same-name candidate, Dan J. Sullivan, to run for Senate and draw votes from Senator Dan Sullivan. The claim's wording ('fake candidate') is Trump's characterization, but the story's core allegation matches the claim.5 sources →

    ▶ 17:19

  16. 16TrueTwo individuals named Dan Sullivan are running against one Democrat in the election.As of 2026-10-28, two candidates named Dan Sullivan were on Alaska's Senate ballot, the incumbent Dan S. Sullivan and challenger Daniel J. Sullivan, and both were running against Democrat Mary Peltola, so the factual claim holds. The post's 'voter fraud' accusation is not part of the extracted claim and is not graded here; the sources show the Alaska Supreme Court kept both men on the ballot and that the Justice Department sued over the situation, with no ruling that the candidacies were fraudulent.6 sources →

    ▶ 19:30

  17. 17Can’t tellThe United States Agency for International Development (USAID) continues to fund the entire Serbian operation.The sources show USAID funded a 2023–2024 Serbian LGBTQ/DEI workplace program (about $1.5 million) and that USAID's Serbia mission remains listed, but none breaks down Serbia's roughly $21.2 million in FY2025 obligations by agency, so whether USAID pays for the entire Serbian operation cannot be checked. The extracted claim matches the post's wording, and the post's own "we have cut virtually nothing out of USAID" framing is the claimant's assertion, not evidence.7 sources →

    ▶ 20:56

  18. 18FalseThe CIA and the National Security Council under the Biden administration helped steal the election from Jair Bolsonaro in Brazil.The claim that the Biden-era CIA and National Security Council helped steal Brazil's 2022 election from Bolsonaro is contradicted by the sources: Reuters and CRS report that US officials pressed Bolsonaro to stop attacking the voting system, not that they manipulated the result, and a fact-checker (Comprova) rejected a similar interference allegation for lack of proof. The claim is a restatement of Mike Benz's allegations, which the sources present as unproven.7 sources →

    ▶ 21:35

  19. 19FalseThe 2020 United States presidential election was stolen.The claim that the 2020 presidential election was stolen is contradicted by multiple authoritative sources (AP, FactCheck.org, PolitiFact, AFP, Barr-era DOJ findings, court rulings, and election officials) that found no evidence of fraud that could have changed the outcome; Biden won 306-232 in the Electoral College. The claim as extracted matches the speaker's assertion in the passage, so no extraction departure applies.8 sources →

    ▶ 21:47

  20. 20Can’t tellFederal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook forged her mortgage papers.The sources show that FHFA Director Bill Pulte alleged mortgage fraud and that Cook's lawyers call the allegations baseless, but no court, audit, or other authority has found that she forged anything. The post itself said she 'allegedly' forged her papers, and the extraction dropped that qualifier, so the claim states as fact what the post presented as an allegation.7 sources →

    ▶ 23:17

  21. 21MixedCore inflation was 2.6%.Core CPI inflation was 2.6% over the 12 months through September 2026, as reported before the 2026-10-28 post, so the figure holds under the CPI measure. However, the Fed's preferred core PCE measure was about 3.0% in August and forecast at 3.1% for September, so the claim fails under that measure; the claim does not specify which measure is meant. The post's own context concerns the Fed, which tracks PCE, so the claim is measure-dependent.7 sources →

    ▶ 23:38

  22. 22Can’t tellOver 5,000 copies of the book Why Fauci Must Rot in Prison were sold.No provided source reports a sales count for Why Fauci MUST Rot in Prison, so the 5,000-copy figure cannot be confirmed or refuted. Amazon category rankings and a Substack promotional post are not sales records. The extraction is faithful to the passage, where Navarro's own words say 'over 5,000 copies were sold' in reply to a question about the NYT list.5 sources →

    ▶ 26:07

  23. 23TrueThe Medicare open enrollment period for 2026 is from October 15 to December 7.Multiple primary and tier1 sources, including the AP, medicare.gov, and a CMS presentation, state that the 2026 Medicare Open Enrollment Period runs October 15 to December 7. The posted passage was garbled ('October was it seventh'), but its final wording was 'October 15 and December 7,' so the extraction is faithful. The sources also show the period was in effect on 2026-10-28, the claim's date.4 sources →

    ▶ 27:54

  24. 24TrueAll Family Pharmacy offers over 500 medications including antibiotics, cold and flu medications, maintenance medications, ivermectin, GLP-1s, and NAD+ peptides.The company's own 2026 medication catalog lists 617 medications, including 37 antibiotics and 11 ivermectin products, and an October 2026 company-affiliated interview says it offers over 500 medications including ivermectin, antibiotics, and NAD+. No source addresses GLP-1s, and the catalog and interview are self-published, so confidence is moderate; the claim was accurate as of 2026-10-28 based on these sources.3 sources →

    ▶ 28:54

  25. 25TrueLa Knéset es un parlamento de 120 miembros.The claim that the Knesset is a 120-member parliament is supported by multiple sources, including AP, BBC, NBC, and the official Knesset Research Center, which all state the Knesset has 120 seats. The extracted claim is a faithful Spanish paraphrase of the passage's 'There are 120 seats in the Knesset.'6 sources →

    ▶ 30:03

  26. 26TrueA coalition in the Israeli Knesset requires 61 seats to form a government.Multiple reliable sources (AP, Reuters) and explanatory sources confirm that a majority government in the 120-seat Knesset requires 61 seats, which matches the claim; the claim faithfully extracts the passage's 'need 50% plus one, which takes them to 61 seats' point. Sources note minority governments are possible without 61, which is a qualification rather than a contradiction.7 sources →

    ▶ 30:05

  27. 27TrueThe Likud party currently holds 26 seats in the Knesset.On 2026-10-28, partial counts showed Likud at about 26 seats (Foreign Policy and Haaretz, with over 90% of votes counted), so the claim held on its date. Later final counts gave Likud 27 seats, which does not make the 10-28 claim false, but the figure has since changed.8 sources →

    ▶ 31:32

  28. 28MixedArab parties currently hold 18 seats in the Knesset.The 18-seat figure matches the October 27 exit-poll forecast (source 7), but the October 28 tallies in sources 1 and 6 already showed 19 seats for Arab parties, and final results were 19 (sources 0, 2, 4). The claim also says Arab parties 'currently hold' 18 seats, yet the outgoing Knesset had about 10 Arab seats and the new seats were not yet allocated as of October 28, so the claim departs from the record on both figure and framing.7 sources →

    ▶ 31:41

  29. 29FalsePresident Isaac Herzog has asked Benjamin Netanyahu to form a government.As of the claim's date (2026-10-28) and in every source checked through 2026-11-02, President Herzog had not tasked anyone with forming a government: the final results were not yet certified, and consultations with parties were still to begin. The post's 'most likely scenario' hedge was dropped in extraction, but the claim is still contradicted as a statement of fact.6 sources →

    ▶ 33:30

  30. 30FalseBenjamin Netanyahu has six weeks to form a government.As of 2026-10-28 no one had yet been given the mandate to form a government: President Herzog had not chosen between Netanyahu and Eisenkot, and AP reported on 10-30 that he would assign someone the following week. The post's six-week framing also overstates the record, which gives 28 days plus a possible 14-day extension (Reuters cites up to 42 days), so the claim that Netanyahu currently 'has six weeks' is not supported on that date.8 sources →

    ▶ 33:37

  31. 31TrueTorch QRF is an organization working to end the killing of Christians in Nigeria.Torch QRF's own website (published 2026-10-31) and a founder's LinkedIn profile (published 2026-10-25, before the claim) describe it as an organization dedicated to ending the killing of Christians, with Nigeria as the largest share of its cited figures. All evidence about the organization comes from the organization or its founder, so it is self-described and not independently verified; the claim also matches the post's wording, so it does not depart from the passage.4 sources →

    ▶ 35:22

  32. 32FalseRepublican primary voters are currently outpacing Democrat primary voters in Texas.As of October 26–28, 2026, the sources report that Democratic primary voters still led Republican primary voters in Texas early voting, both cumulatively and by a narrow margin, so the claim that Republicans were currently outpacing Democrats is contradicted. The one nuance is that Republican turnout picked up late in the week, which the post may have been describing as momentum rather than a total lead.6 sources →

    ▶ 36:49

  33. 33TrueTotal voter turnout in Texas is currently tracking with 2018 levels.Sources from the days around the October 28 post show Texas turnout running essentially even with 2018: slightly behind on the first week of early voting (23.4% vs 24.3%), then surpassing 2018 levels by October 31 and November 2. The extracted claim drops the post's qualifier that turnout had 'a bit of an edge' on 2018, but 'tracking with 2018 levels' is consistent with the sources' near-parity picture.4 sources →

    ▶ 36:59

  34. 34TrueThere are approximately 2 million registered Texas Republicans who have not yet voted in the current election.Analyst Derek Ryan's estimate, reported before the claim was made, puts the number of Republican-primary voters who had not yet voted in the general election at about 2 million (2.1 million in another report), so the figure is close to the claim's approximate 2 million. Texas does not register voters by party, so 'registered Republicans' is a proxy based on past primary participation rather than a registration count; the claim departs from the speaker's own wording only in that label, which is a definitional difference rather than a contradiction.5 sources →

    ▶ 39:27

  35. 35MixedThere are approximately 500,000 high-propensity Republican voters in Texas who have not yet voted.The sources give competing estimates of high-propensity Republicans who had not yet voted, and the claimed 500,000 falls between them: Ryan's count of 318,000 Republicans who voted in all four prior GOP primaries (through Oct. 23) and Patrick's roughly 600,000 (Oct. 25). The claim is a faithful extraction of the passage's 'about a half million', but no source gives 500,000 directly, and the broader 2 million figure uses a different definition.6 sources →

    ▶ 39:51

  36. 36MixedIn the 2018 Texas election, 8% of the Republican base shifted their vote to Beto O'Rourke.The claim's 8% figure is close to, but not the same measure as, the sources' numbers. AP VoteCast exit polling put O'Rourke's share of Republican voters at about 6%, while a Texas Politics analysis reports that no more than 8% of Republicans held a favorable view of O'Rourke in any 2018 poll. Neither source measures a 'shift' of Republican votes directly, so the claim is only loosely supported.4 sources →

    ▶ 40:10

  37. 37Can’t tellThe independent vote in the 2026 Texas election is tracking at the same level as it was in 2018.No source reports independent-voter turnout in the 2026 Texas early vote compared with 2018, so the claim cannot be graded. Sources show overall early turnout slightly behind 2018 as of Oct 27 and then surpassing 2018 by Nov 1, and analysts say Republicans need independents, but none states that independent turnout is tracking at 2018 levels. The claim is faithful to the post, which is the speaker's own unsourced assertion.9 sources →

    ▶ 41:03

  38. 38TrueElection Day in Texas is typically won by Republicans by a significant margin.Recorded Texas presidential results from 1980 through 2024 show Republicans winning the state in every cycle, mostly by margins of roughly 5 to 20 points, and a 2026 commentary cites a six-to-seven-point baseline GOP advantage. The claim's 'Election Day' wording is broad, and the sources cover statewide and presidential outcomes rather than every Election Day contest.6 sources →

    ▶ 41:32

  39. 39Can’t tellChapter advisors can find the best insurance plan for a user's needs at the lowest cost in under 20 minutes.None of the sources verifies or refutes that Chapter advisors can find the best plan at the lowest cost in under 20 minutes. The only support is Chapter's own marketing and AARP's description of its service, and the Trustpilot and Reddit reviews raise complaints about advisor conduct without addressing the timing or cost claim. The extraction is faithful to the post, and nothing in the sources contradicts the claim as of 2026-10-28.9 sources →

    ▶ 44:36

  40. 40Can’t tellMembers of the Warren posse saved tens to hundreds of thousands of dollars collectively in fees during the first few days of the company's launch.The claim is a specific savings figure attributed to Warren posse members for the company's first days, which the post makes only in a sponsor-style ad read by the host, with no source covering this company or its launch. None of the provided sources mention Chapter, the Warren posse savings, or any such launch, so the claim cannot be graded in either direction; the claim also adds a framing ("tens to hundreds of thousands" saved) that is not a precise figure in the post, though the post itself says "tens and up to hundreds of thousands collectively."5 sources →

    ▶ 44:59

  41. 41Can’t tellCampaign signs for Proposition 133, 134, and 135 have been stolen across Colorado.No source independently documents theft of Proposition 133, 134, or 135 campaign signs across Colorado. The only coverage of the claim is the claimant's own post and a blog and tweet repeating it, and the documented sign thefts in the sources involve a sheriff candidate's signs in Vail and other candidates' signs in 2020, not these propositions.8 sources →

    ▶ 45:31

  42. 42FalseStealing campaign signs is a federal offense.The claim that stealing campaign signs is a federal offense is contradicted by sources describing it as a state or local crime. The People article states there are no federal laws against it, and the other sources cite state statutes (Pennsylvania, Missouri, North Carolina, Florida) and state-level misdemeanor or theft charges. The post itself asserted the federal framing, so the extraction matches the passage.5 sources →

    ▶ 46:51

  43. 43Can’t tellThe campaign for Proposition 133, 134, and 135 is filing charges through the City of Aurora for the theft of campaign signs.None of the provided sources covers the alleged sign-theft incident or any campaign filing of charges through the City of Aurora, so the claim cannot be graded. The extraction is faithful to the post, which names the Props 133-135 campaign, Aurora, and the stealing of campaign signs, so no addition is at issue.5 sources →

    ▶ 47:46

  44. 44Can’t tellEight campaign signs were recovered after a confrontation with an individual.No provided source covers the Aurora, Colorado confrontation in which the speaker says they got eight signs back, so the claim can't be graded either way. The claim faithfully tracks the passage, and the Thurston County and Lauderhill sign stories concern different events.5 sources →

    ▶ 48:04

  45. 45Can’t tellWarpath Coffee has over 21,000 five-star reviews between its website and Amazon.The sources do not state a five-star review count for either channel. The website reviews page shows a figure of 20059 (undated as to scope, and published 2026-10-15), and the Amazon listing shows 336 ratings at 4.6 stars with 79% five-star, roughly 265 five-star ratings. Combined, the visible totals (about 20,395) fall short of the claimed 21,000 five-star reviews, but the website figure's meaning and the snapshot dates are unclear, so the claim cannot be confirmed or refuted. The extraction matches the passage, which says 'over 21,000 5 star reviews between the website and Amazon.'2 sources →

    ▶ 50:25

  46. 46Can’t tellA specific song mentioned by the host is ranked number two on the country music charts.The passage never names the song the host means, so the claim cannot be tied to a specific chart position. The sources show different songs at No. 2 on different country charts as of late October 2026 (On The Dial lists Ella Langley's "Loving Life Again" at No. 2 on Oct 27; the DJ Music Charts Week 44 list has Luke Bryan's "Country And She Knows It" at No. 2), and the host's own claim that the song sits ahead of Ella Langley on Billboard overall does not match the On The Dial placement, so the claim cannot be confirmed or refuted from these sources.2 sources →

    ▶ 52:15

  47. 47TrueA specific song mentioned by the host is ranked number six or seven on the Billboard overall charts.The Billboard Hot 100 chart dated 28 October 2026 places Stella Lefty's 'Boston' at No. 6 and Morgan Wallen's 'Been By Now' at No. 7, so a song ranked six or seven overall existed on the claim date. The passage does not name the song the host meant, and the extracted claim omits the host's comparison that the song sits 'in front of Ella Langley', which the sources contradict because 'Choosin' Texas' was No. 1 that week.2 sources →

    ▶ 52:19

  48. 48Can’t tellTax Network USA offers a complimentary business tax review that normally costs thousands of dollars.None of the sources mention a complimentary business tax review or say that such a review normally costs thousands of dollars. The sources describe a free consultation and say Tax Network USA does not publish pricing, so the central price claim is neither supported nor contradicted. The claim's wording matches the post, so the extraction is faithful.3 sources →

    ▶ 54:36

  49. 49FalseIn 2020, 914,000 ballots were cast in Ohio, representing roughly 20% of the total.The claim's figures do not match the record: Ohio's certified 2020 total was about 5.97 million ballots, so 914,000 is roughly 15% of the total, not 20%, and no source reports 914,000. The extracted claim faithfully matches the passage, which gives the same figures.6 sources →

    ▶ 11:41

  50. 50Can’t tellMary Peltola participated in a scheme to run a fake candidate named Dan Sullivan against Senator Dan Sullivan.The sources report that the New York Times alleged Peltola's campaign and the DSCC helped recruit Dan J. Sullivan to split votes from the incumbent, and that the DOJ, Alaska's governor, and Republicans are pursuing the allegations. Peltola denies knowing anything about it, and Snopes and Alaska's News Source say they could not independently verify the Times reporting, so no authoritative source confirms or debunks Peltola's participation. The claim also tracks the post's wording closely, so no extraction departure needs flagging.9 sources →

    ▶ 18:00

Sources

Fact-checkers 37Primary records 23Most reliable outlets 5Reliable outlets 20Unrated 189

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