Polygraph

Republican primary voters are currently outpacing Democrat primary voters in Texas.

Posted by Bannon`s War Room, Checked

Polygraph verdictFalse
Sources
5 contradict1 context
Said
1 time·
Confidence
65%
Bannon`s War RoomOct 28, 2026
View on Podcast ↗
Video frame
50 claimsThe check →

As of October 26–28, 2026, the sources report that Democratic primary voters still led Republican primary voters in Texas early voting, both cumulatively and by a narrow margin, so the claim that Republicans were currently outpacing Democrats is contradicted.

A guest makes this claim. Listeners heard it, so it counts against the post, and on the guest's own record.

This claim is about the present, so it is judged as of the day it was checked.

What was said

… John, what do you got for us today? You got better news, sir? You had pretty good news the other day. Is it getting better? Is it getting is it getting worse? It is getting better, but slowly. Uhm, obviously, we would love to see a bigger pickup, but we did definitely see kind of a turn happen over the last couple of days, uh, with Republican primary voters starting to show out and actually outpace their Democrat counterparts. Uhm, we're still tracking with about 2018, but we have a bit of an edge on 2018 now in terms of total turnout, so that is are the President Trump went to Corpus Christi strategically for South Texas and Rio Grande Valley. He went to Lubbock for West Texas. …
Bannon`s War Room · · from the transcriptPost →

What we found

Contradicts. Texas Monthly (published 2026-10-28) states that as of Sunday night, voters who previously voted in Democratic primaries slightly outnumber those who voted in Republican primaries.[1]

Contradicts. The Texas Tribune's first-week early-voting analysis reports that Democratic primary voters outpaced Republicans in the opening week of early voting.[2][3]

Contradicts. Derek Ryan's analysis, as reported by NBC DFW (2026-10-27), finds Democrats holding a 115,000-vote advantage among those who had already cast ballots, and an earlier 36% to 35% Democratic edge in primary-voter share.[4][5]

Context. Republican turnout did pick up toward the end of the early-voting week, and Ryan said about 2 million reliable Republican primary voters had not yet voted, so the late-week Republican momentum the post described is partly supported even though the cumulative lead was Democratic.[1][4]

Context. The Texan (2026-10-26) reports Democratic primary voters outperforming Republicans as of Monday morning, consistent with the other October sources.[6]

Sources

6 sources: 6 not rated

  1. 1Can the Texas Early-Voting Numbers Tell Us Anything?texasmonthly.com · not rated · cited for: contradicts, context
  2. 2Texas early voting rate is slightly behind 2018, when Beto O’Rourke challenged Ted Cruzkwtx.com · not rated · cited for: contradicts
  3. 3In first week of early voting, 4.5 million Texans cast a ballottexastribune.org · not rated · cited for: contradicts
  4. 4Record Texas turnout possible as early voting points to a ...nbcdfw.com · not rated · cited for: contradicts, context
  5. 5Texas early voting rate is slightly behind 2018, when Beto O ...hppr.org · not rated · cited for: contradicts
  6. 6Texas on Track for Record Midterm Voter Turnout, Democrats ...thetexan.news · not rated · cited for: context

Where this claim was made

Said in 1 published post

How Polygraph checks a claim

Our Weekly Newsletter

The Readout

The week's most-shared posts, checked. What they claimed, how they argued, and what held up.

Unsubscribe any time. See our privacy policy.