The United States has the lowest murder rate and lowest violent crime rate in 126 years.
Posted by Speaker Mike Johnson, Checked Updated
- Sources
- 4 support2 context
- Said
- 2 times·
- Confidence
- 55%
The Dan Bongino ShowOct 16, 2026
Sources support the claim's core: the FBI reports 2025 murder at 4.1 per 100,000, tied with 1955 and 1956, and the administration and Council on Criminal Justice say homicides are on pace for the lowest level in at least 126 years.
A played clip makes this claim. Listeners heard it, so it counts against the post.
This claim is about the present, so it is judged as of the day it was checked.
What was said
… That means that's money in their pocket they did not have to send to Washington just because we improve, implemented the bill. The average household income went up by almost $5,400 just because of our policies. We also have the safest country in 126 years. The lowest murder rate, lowest violent crime rate in 126 years. We have a secure border. We've not released a single illegal alien into the country in 16 straight months. We have more jobs, more opportunity. We've created a million private sector jobs in the last 19 months in this country. And the success goes on and on. …
What we found
Supports. The FBI's 2025 data put the murder rate at 4.1 per 100,000, tied with the 1955 and 1956 rates, and report the largest one-year drop in violent crime and murder since 1936.[2]
Supports. The White House and DHS report that 2026 homicides are on pace for the lowest level in at least 126 years, a partial-year projection from the administration.[3][4]
Supports. The Council on Criminal Justice reports an 18% drop in homicides across 30 cities in 2026, with a headline of murders on pace for a 126-year low.[6]
Context. FactCheck.org quotes a claim of the lowest violent crime rate in 126 years but disputes only the attribution to Trump and the comparison to Biden, not the level itself.[1]
Context. The murder rate is only tied with the 1955 and 1956 rates, and the 126-year comparison goes beyond the FBI's 1936 data series.[2][5]
Sources
6 sources: 1 fact-checker, 4 primary, 1 not rated
- 1FactChecking Day Two of the GOP Midterm Conventionfactcheck.org · fact-checker · cited for: context
- 2Op-Ed: Violent Crime Down Across U.S., FBI Pivots to ...fbi.gov · primary source · cited for: supports, context
- 3Crime Plummets to Another Historic Low Under President ...whitehouse.gov · primary source · cited for: supports
- 4LAW AND ORDER: Crime Rates Reach Historic Lows Following DHS Deportations of Criminal Illegal Aliensdhs.gov · primary source · cited for: supports
- 5Untitledcongress.gov · primary source · cited for: context
- 6US on Track to Have Historically Low Number of Homicides in 2026, ...ground.news · not rated · cited for: supports
Where this claim was made
Said in 2 published posts
Checked 2 times
Each check reads the sources again. The newest verdict is the one this page states.
- · latestTrue
- Mixed
Related claims
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- In 2025, the U.S. murder rate saw its single largest decline in recorded history.Can’t tell