Polygraph

In 2025, the U.S. murder rate saw its single largest decline in recorded history.

Said by Donald Trump, Checked Updated

Polygraph verdictCan’t tell
Sources
5 context
Said
1 time·
Confidence
70%
The Dan Bongino ShowSep 16, 2026
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While U.S. murder rates saw historic declines in 2023 and 2024, the provided sources do not contain specific data or confirmation that 2025 experienced the single largest decline in recorded history.

What was said

… That's up 13%. This FBI is making America safe. We, this FBI, have arrested 4,260 foreign terrorist organization related aliens. That's up 38%. This FBI has executed 86 foreign transfers of custody, a 54% increase, for perps captured overseas in 2025. According to the Uniform Crime Report, we delivered the largest reduction in the murder rate in the history of America. We, the FBI, captured more than two and a half times the number of the top ten most wanted fugitives on the FBI's list from the prior administration. In fact, Mr. …
The Dan Bongino Show · · from the transcriptPost →

What we found

Context. The U.S. murder rate experienced a significant drop from approximately 6.7-6.8 per 100,000 in 2020 to 5.0 by the end of 2024.[1][2]

Context. In 2024, the number of murders in more than 200 U.S. cities was reported to have declined by approximately 20% compared to the same period in 2023.[3]

Context. By the end of 2024, the total number of murders in the U.S. had decreased by 23% from the peak recorded in 2020.[1]

Context. None of the provided sources, including those published in early 2026, explicitly state that 2025 saw the 'single largest decline in recorded history.'[4][5]

Context. Major cities like New York reported significant drops in homicides and other violent crimes leading into 2025.[5]

Sources

5 sources: 5 tier 1

  1. 1Biden's Final Numbers - FactCheck.orgfactcheck.org · tier 1 · cited for: context
  2. 2Biden's Numbers, 2024 Pre-Election Updatefactcheck.org · tier 1 · cited for: context
  3. 3Biden's Numbers, April 2024 Updatefactcheck.org · tier 1 · cited for: context
  4. 4Trump's Numbers, Second Term - FactCheck.orgfactcheck.org · tier 1 · cited for: context
  5. 5FactChecking Trump's Inaugural Addressfactcheck.org · tier 1 · cited for: context

Where this claim was made

Said in 1 published post

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