Polygraph

The global e-cigarette and vaping industry is estimated at 24 billion dollars in 2026.

Posted by The Joe Rogan Experience, Checked

Polygraph verdictFalse
Sources
5 contradict2 context
Said
1 time·
Confidence
60%
The Joe Rogan ExperienceNov 6, 2026
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149 claimsThe check →

The claim matches the post's wording, but the 2026 global estimates in the sources run from about $27B to $59B, and none is near $24B. The $24.2B figure appears only as a 2025 estimate from 6Wresearch, so the claim appears to use a 2025 number for 2026.

This claim is about the present, so it is judged as of the day it was checked.

What was said

… So it's a nicotine is a very big business. Yeah, but see, like, there's something uniquely addictive about wow. Well, e-cigarette vaping industry is estimated at 24 billion in 2026. This is global. Uhm, can we get it on the United States? Is that available? US. Tracked retail, 6 billion in 2025. US. Electronic cigarettes and vape shots, 8 billion in 2026. Fuck, that's crazy. That's so much money. Wow. …
The Joe Rogan Experience · · from the transcriptPost →

What we found

Contradicts. Grand View Research estimates the global e-cigarette and vape market at USD 59.2 billion in 2026, and Quantumrun repeats that figure.[2][3]

Contradicts. Research Nester, Coherent Market Insights and Econ Market Research put the 2026 global market at roughly USD 48.2 billion.[3][4]

Contradicts. The Business Research Company projects USD 38.93 billion for 2026, and Mordor Intelligence projects USD 26.97 billion, both above the claimed $24 billion.[5][6]

Context. 6Wresearch gives USD 24.2 billion, but for 2025, not 2026, which suggests the claim used a prior-year figure.[7]

Context. The Reuters figure of about $9 billion refers to the illegal U.S. vape market, not the global industry, so it does not support the claim.[1]

Sources

7 sources: 1 fact-checker, 6 not rated

  1. 1Shopify to bar vapes as U.S. authorities crack down on ...reuters.com · fact-checker · cited for: context
  2. 2E-cigarette And Vape Market Size & Share Report 2026-2033grandviewresearch.com · not rated · cited for: contradicts
  3. 3E-Cigarette and Vape Market Statistics 2026 - Quantumrunquantumrun.com · not rated · cited for: contradicts
  4. 4Segment Overvieweconmarketresearch.com · not rated · cited for: contradicts
  5. 5E-Cigarette And Vape Market Size, Growth Report 2026-2030thebusinessresearchcompany.com · not rated · cited for: contradicts
  6. 6Electronic Cigarette Market Size, Report, Share & Forecast Report...mordorintelligence.com · not rated · cited for: contradicts
  7. 7Global E Cigarette and Vaping Market (2025 - 2031) - 6Wresearch6wresearch.com · not rated · cited for: context

Where this claim was made

Said in 1 published post

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