Polygraph

Transgender people comprise 1% of the American population.

Said by Jubilee, Checked Updated

Polygraph verdictTrue
Sources
3 support4 context
Said
1 time·
Confidence
70%
The Dan Bongino ShowOct 16, 2026
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74 claimsThe check →

The claim's 1% figure matches the 2026 Williams Institute estimate that 1.0% of Americans aged 13 and older identify as transgender, and the Hill and NBC News also describe about 1%.

This claim is about the present, so it is judged as of the day it was checked.

What we found

Supports. The Williams Institute's 2026 primary report estimates that 1.0% of Americans aged 13 and older identify as transgender, about 2.8 million people.[3]

Supports. The Hill (2025) and NBC News (2025) both describe transgender people as roughly 1% of the U.S. population, citing the Williams Institute estimate.[4][5]

Context. The same Williams study puts the adult share at 0.8%, and FactCheck.org describes transgender people as a 'small percentage' of the population; a 2024 Household Pulse estimate is 0.95% of adults. These figures are consistent with 1% when rounded, but they depend on the measure used.[1][3][6]

Context. Earlier surveys gave a wider range: 0.5% to 1.6% of adults (PolitiFact, 2023) and 1.6% in a 2022 Pew survey. The 1% figure falls within that range.[2][7]

Sources

7 sources: 2 fact-checkers, 1 primary, 1 tier 1, 1 tier 2, 2 not rated

  1. 1Republican Ads Distort the Facts in Claiming Democratic ...factcheck.org · fact-checker · cited for: context
  2. 2How many trans people are there in the U.S., and why do ...politifact.com · fact-checker · cited for: context
  3. 3How Many Adults and Youth Identify as Transgender in the United States?williamsinstitute.law.ucla.edu · primary source · cited for: supports, context
  4. 4Report: 2.8M Americans identify as transgender - The Hillthehill.com · tier 1 · cited for: supports
  5. 5Transgender people are about 1% of the U.S. population. Yet they're ...nbcnews.com · tier 2 · cited for: supports
  6. 6What percentage of the US population is transgender?usafacts.org · not rated · cited for: context
  7. 7About 5% of young adults in the U.S. say their gender is different from their sex assigned at birthpewresearch.org · not rated · cited for: context

Where this claim was made

Said in 1 published post

Checked 4 times

Each check reads the sources again. The newest verdict is the one this page states.

  1. · latestTrue
  2. True
  3. False
  4. True

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