Polygraph

The NCAA reported there are approximately 10 trans college athletes out of more than 150,000.

Posted by The Ebro, Laura, Rosenberg Show, Checked

Polygraph verdictMixed
Sources
4 contradict1 support1 context
Said
1 time·
Confidence
60%
The Ebro, Laura, Rosenberg ShowSep 12, 2026
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The core figure is supported: NCAA President Charlie Baker told a Senate panel in December 2024 that he knew of fewer than 10 transgender athletes, and some later coverage rounds this to 10. The denominator is understated, since the sources put NCAA participation at roughly 500,000 to 544,000, not 150,000.

This claim is about the present, so it is judged as of the day it was checked.

What we found

Contradicts. The sources put the NCAA's athlete population at roughly 500,000 to 544,000, not the 'more than 150,000' the claim states. The claim's denominator is about a third of the reported figure, which changes the implied proportion.[1][2][3][4]

Supports. NCAA President Charlie Baker told a Senate panel in December 2024 there were fewer than 10 transgender athletes he was aware of competing in college sports.[2][3]

Supports. Some outlets round Baker's testimony to 'something like 10' or 'only 10' trans athletes, so the approximately-10 figure is a reasonable reading of the reported number.[4][5]

Context. The 'fewer than 10' figure came from Baker's 2024 testimony about athletes he was aware of, not a formal NCAA count. The NCAA does not track transgender athletes, per AP.[1]

Context. Later coverage from October 2026 reports an NCAA spokesperson saying the current number of trans athletes in women's sports is effectively zero after the February 2025 policy change. This postdates the September 2026 claim and does not change its grading as of that date.[4][6]

Sources

6 sources: 2 fact-checkers, 1 tier 1, 3 not rated

  1. 1Trump delivered on his promise to order a ban on transgender ...apnews.com · fact-checker · cited for: contradicts, context
  2. 2NCAA bans transgender women from sports a day after Trump executive orderreuters.com · fact-checker · cited for: contradicts, supports
  3. 3NCAA president says there are 'less than 10' transgender ...thehill.com · tier 1 · cited for: contradicts, supports
  4. 4Republicans have made Americans believe transgender ...yahoo.com · not rated · cited for: contradicts, supports, context
  5. 5NCAA changes transgender policy to limit women's competition ...krgv.com · not rated · cited for: supports
  6. 6Hegseth Needs More T—Poll Shows He's No Male Role Modelthebulwark.com · not rated · cited for: context

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