Polygraph

The crime rate dropped because of President Trump's use of Title 8 for deportations.

Posted by The Dan Bongino Show, Checked

Polygraph verdictCan’t tell
Sources
3 contradict2 support
Said
1 time·
Confidence
40%
The Dan Bongino ShowSep 16, 2026
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61 claimsThe check →

The sources confirm that crime fell in 2025 and in early 2026, but none examines whether Title 8 deportations caused that drop. The administration and DHS credit deportations, while the NYT notes the trend began before Trump's current term and independent analysts dispute the attribution.

What was said

… If not, they're of no use to us. Get them out. You may say that seems like common sense. It is. I told you, he's a transactional guy. No one had thought of that before. So he gets them out quick. It's one of the reasons the crime rate dropped. I could have asked about that at the hearing yesterday. So this one gang banger they, ah, locked up, who's was here illegally, this Haitian guy, he decided that he was gonna go on a little bit of a rant. …
The Dan Bongino Show · · from the transcriptPost →

What we found

Contradicts. The NYT reports that the crime decline began before Trump's current term and describes his claims as sweeping and exaggerated, while criminologists find immigration is not associated with higher crime.[1][4][5]

Supports. The DHS and White House releases state that homicides, robberies and other crimes fell in 2025 and 2026 and link the drop to deportations of criminal illegal aliens.[2][3]

Context. No source addresses Title 8 specifically or isolates the effect of Title 8 deportations on crime rates, so the causal claim cannot be graded directly.

Sources

5 sources: 3 primary, 1 tier 2, 1 not rated

  1. 1Do Immigrants Increase Crime in the US?news.northeastern.edu · primary source · cited for: contradicts
  2. 2NEW SURVEY: President Trump Delivers Historic Drop in ...whitehouse.gov · primary source · cited for: supports
  3. 3LAW AND ORDER: Crime Rates Reach Historic Lows Following DHS Deportations of Criminal Illegal Aliensdhs.gov · primary source · cited for: supports
  4. 4President Trump Takes Credit for Steep Crime Rate Declinesnytimes.com · tier 2 · cited for: contradicts
  5. 5Claims of a Migrant Crime Surge Contradicted by Over ...themarshallproject.org · not rated · cited for: contradicts

Where this claim was made

Said in 1 published post

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