Polygraph

Lula won the presidential election over Bolsonaro in Brazil.

Posted by REAL AF with Andy Frisella, Checked

Polygraph verdictTrue
Sources
6 support
Said
1 time·
Confidence
95%
REAL AF with Andy FrisellaOct 28, 2026
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On today's episode, Andy and DJ discuss Lula's presidential election victory over Bolsonaro amid controversy surrounding extended voting hours in Brazil, hundreds of Maine absentee ballot envelopes reportedly being shipped to a Soros-linked nonprofit in Maryland before the investigation was closed, and the Trump administration accusing CBS of …

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Multiple tier1 and tier2 sources (AP, Reuters, BBC, NPR, DW) report that Lula won Brazil's October 25, 2026 presidential runoff over Flávio Bolsonaro, the son of Jair Bolsonaro, with about 51.8% and a lead of roughly 4.4 million votes per the electoral court.

What we found

Supports. Brazil's electoral court announced Lula won the runoff with about 51.8% of the vote, nearly 4.4 million votes ahead of Flávio Bolsonaro.[1][2][3]

Supports. BBC and NPR report Lula was confirmed as winner by the Supreme Electoral Court, which said the voting extension did not change the outcome.[4][5]

Supports. DW reports that world leaders congratulated Lula and that Bolsonaro's party recognizes his victory, though Bolsonaro himself refused to concede.[6]

Context. Flávio Bolsonaro called for the result to be annulled, citing the extended voting hours; this challenge does not alter the declared result in the sources.[1][2][4]

Sources

6 sources: 2 fact-checkers, 2 tier 2, 1 tier 1, 1 not rated

  1. 1Brazil votes in a tense Lula vs Bolsonaro runoff as extended ...apnews.com · fact-checker · cited for: supports, context
  2. 2Brazil’s Lula wins historic fourth term, Flavio Bolsonaro refuses to concedereuters.com · fact-checker · cited for: supports, context
  3. 3Lula beats Bolsonaro in Brazil runoff, securing fourth ...pbs.org · tier 2 · cited for: supports
  4. 4Lula wins fourth term in dramatic Brazil election comeback - BBCbbc.com · tier 1 · cited for: supports, context
  5. 5Brazil's left-wing President Lula elected for fourth termnpr.org · tier 2 · cited for: supports
  6. 6Brazil elections: Germany's Merz and other world leaders have congratulated Lula on his victorydw.com · not rated · cited for: supports

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