Polygraph

Lula da Silva won the Brazilian election with 51.1% of the vote.

Posted by The Benny Show, Checked

Polygraph verdictMixed
Sources
6 contradict2 context
Said
1 time·
Confidence
85%
The Benny ShowOct 26, 2026
View on Podcast ↗
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66 claimsThe check →

The sources confirm Lula won the runoff, but they put his share at 51.8% (about 51.79%), not the 51.1% the claim states. The winner is right and the stated percentage is wrong by about 0.7 points.

Minor detail. The sources confirm the claim; only a minor detail differs, such as a name's spelling, a title's wording or a rounding.

What was said

… Just to start off with, there's a lot of other good things that we can do, but let's start there. Okay, march with us on to victory. It is assured. It's your boy Benny. See ya. Bonjia from, uh-huh, it's run off day in Brazil, and in results are in. Lula wing 51 1%. Buen dia from Rio, it's runoff day in Brazil. Again, Lula wins 51%. Bom dia from Rio, it's runoff day. Lula 51, fourth term at least. The beach is nice. Truth gon be TV screen, stand up strong, battle through the night. …
The Benny Show · · from the transcriptPost →

What we found

Contradicts. Reuters, AP, BBC, WSJ and CNBC all report Lula's share as 51.8% (BBC: 51.79%), so the claimed 51.1% does not match the official tally.[1][2][3][4][5][6]

Supports. Multiple tier1 sources report that Lula won Brazil's October 2026 presidential runoff over Flávio Bolsonaro, with the electoral court confirming the result.[1][2][3][4][5][6]

Context. DW reported 51.7% and NPR reported 'just over 51%' of valid votes, so the figures vary slightly by outlet, but none reports 51.1%.[7][8]

Sources

8 sources: 2 fact-checkers, 2 tier 1, 2 tier 2, 2 not rated

  1. 1Brazil runoff election resultsreuters.com · fact-checker · cited for: contradicts, supports
  2. 2Lula declared winner of Brazil's election, Bolsonaro rejects ...apnews.com · fact-checker · cited for: contradicts, supports
  3. 3Lula wins fourth term in dramatic Brazil election comebackbbc.com · tier 1 · cited for: contradicts, supports
  4. 4World leaders congratulate Lula after Brazil election win as rival Flavio Bolsonaro refuses to concedebbc.co.uk · tier 1 · cited for: contradicts, supports
  5. 5Lula Wins Fourth Term in Brazil Election Upsetwsj.com · tier 2 · cited for: contradicts, supports
  6. 6Brazil election 2026: Lula wins historic fourth term - CNBCcnbc.com · not rated · cited for: contradicts, supports
  7. 7Bolsonaro's party accepts Brazil election defeat, but he ...npr.org · tier 2 · cited for: context
  8. 8Brazil elections: Lula leads Bolsonaro with 80% of votes indw.com · not rated · cited for: context

Where this claim was made

Said in 1 published post

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