Polygraph

Lula won 51% of the vote in the Brazilian election.

Posted by The Benny Show, Checked

Polygraph verdictTrue
Sources
7 support
Said
1 time·
Confidence
90%
The Benny ShowOct 26, 2026
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66 claimsThe check →

The claim that Lula won 51% of the vote in the Brazilian presidential runoff is supported by multiple tier1 and tier2 sources reporting 51.8% (electoral court), 51.79% (Bloomberg), and over 51% (AP, CNN, NPR), with the extracted figure matching within rounding. The post's own "Lula wins 51%" line refers to the same runoff, so the extraction is faithful.

What was said

And the results are in: Lula wins 51%. Bom dia from Rio. It's runoff day in Brazil again. Lula wins 51%. Bom dia from Rio. It's runoff day. Lula, 51, fourth term. At least the beach is nice. I like a Brazilian Bill Murray. That's good. All right, ladies and gentlemen, here we go. …
The Benny Show · · from the transcriptPost →

What we found

Supports. AP reports that with all votes counted, Lula won 51.8% of the vote, defeating Bolsonaro by nearly 4.4 million votes, according to Brazil's electoral court.[1][2][3]

Supports. BBC reports Lula won 51.8% of the vote, compared with 48.2% for Flávio Bolsonaro, and Bloomberg's live results show Lula at 51.79%.[4][5]

Supports. NPR reports Lula won just over 51% of valid votes, and CNN reports he won more than 51% of votes in the runoff.[6][7]

Context. Flávio Bolsonaro refused to concede and called for the results to be annulled, but no source disputes the reported vote share itself.[1][6]

Sources

7 sources: 1 fact-checker, 5 tier 2, 1 tier 1

  1. 1Lula declared winner of Brazil's election, Bolsonaro rejects ...apnews.com · fact-checker · cited for: supports, context
  2. 2Brazil votes in a tense Lula vs Bolsonaro runoff as ...washingtonpost.com · tier 2 · cited for: supports
  3. 3Incumbent Lula is declared winner of Brazil's election as ...pbs.org · tier 2 · cited for: supports
  4. 4World leaders congratulate Lula after Brazil election win as ... - BBCbbc.co.uk · tier 1 · cited for: supports
  5. 5Brazil Election Live Results 2026: Lula, Bolsonaro in ...bloomberg.com · tier 2 · cited for: supports
  6. 6Bolsonaro's party accepts Brazil election defeat, but he ...npr.org · tier 2 · cited for: supports, context
  7. 7Brazil's Lula completes stunning turnaround to secure ...cnn.com · tier 2 · cited for: supports

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Said in 1 published post

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