Election Day in Texas is typically won by Republicans by a significant margin.
Posted by Bannon`s War Room, Checked
- Sources
- 3 support3 context
- Said
- 1 time·
- Confidence
- 60%
Bannon`s War RoomOct 28, 2026
Recorded Texas presidential results from 1980 through 2024 show Republicans winning the state in every cycle, mostly by margins of roughly 5 to 20 points, and a 2026 commentary cites a six-to-seven-point baseline GOP advantage. The claim's 'Election Day' wording is broad, and the sources cover statewide and presidential outcomes rather than every Election Day contest.
What was said
… If we get through Friday at five o'clock and they have not started, they have not turned out a lot of low propensity voters or independents, the probability those people show up on Election Day is is fairly low, correct? That's correct. Yeah, Election Day in Texas is usually won by the Republicans and and by a pretty good margin, uhm, and what we're seeing on the ground is, you know, Democrats are really trying to get out those low propensity voters, uhm, but it feels like and it looks like, uh, the energy that they had at the beginning of this cycle is just puttering off, and you …
Bannon`s War Room · · from the transcriptPost →What we found
Supports. The 270toWin voting history shows Republican presidential wins in Texas in every cycle from 1980 to 2024, with margins such as 61.1% to 38.2% in 2004 and 56.1% to 42.5% in 2024, and 5 to 9 points in 2016 and 2020.[1]
Supports. Texas Monthly describes Republicans as holding a baseline advantage of six to seven points in the state.[2]
Supports. Wikipedia's Texas elections article describes Texas as a majority Republican state where Republicans control every statewide office, though the page is dated 2007 and is not a current record.[3]
Context. The 2026 early-voting reporting does not say which party is benefiting from turnout, so it neither confirms nor refutes the claim about typical outcomes.[4][5][6]
Context. The 'significant margin' wording is vague, and the presidential results may not map directly onto every Election Day race, so the verdict rests on interpretation of the historical record.[1][3]
Sources
6 sources: 6 not rated
- 1Texas Presidential Election Voting History - 270toWin.com270towin.com · not rated · cited for: supports, context
- 2Dems Are Finally Admitting Texas Is a Red State. It's Why They Might Actually Win.texasmonthly.com · not rated · cited for: supports
- 3Elections in Texas - Wikipediaen.wikipedia.org · not rated · cited for: supports, context
- 4Texas early voting rate is slightly behind 2018, when Beto O ...ksat.com · not rated · cited for: context
- 5Voting records are being broken across Texas. Here's where turnout standskera.org · not rated · cited for: context
- 6In first week of early voting, 4.5 million Texans cast a ballottexastribune.org · not rated · cited for: context
Where this claim was made
Said in 1 published post
Related claims
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