Polygraph

There are approximately 2 million registered Texas Republicans who have not yet voted in the current election.

Posted by Bannon`s War Room, Checked

Polygraph verdictTrue
Sources
3 support2 context
Said
1 time·
Confidence
60%
Bannon`s War RoomOct 28, 2026
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50 claimsThe check →

Analyst Derek Ryan's estimate, reported before the claim was made, puts the number of Republican-primary voters who had not yet voted in the general election at about 2 million (2.1 million in another report), so the figure is close to the claim's approximate 2 million.

This claim is about the present, so it is judged as of the day it was checked.

What was said

… Well, nice edge means you're going to depend a lot on, uh, on game day, on election day. Even what happens even if we hit historical levels in the next couple of days. Here's the question: I think it was Paxton in Corpus Christi. I say, there's is it, am I correct? Are there 2 million, or is he correct? Are there 2 million Texas Republicans registered that have not voted yet? Um, I would need to look at that data, but that's about right. Uh, there's a lot of Republicans that still have yet to vote. Now, a lot of those are low propensity Republicans, so it's not like, you know, the high propensity ones are sitting out. …
Bannon`s War Room · · from the transcriptPost →

What we found

Supports. NBC DFW reported on Oct 27 that Ryan said 2 million reliable Republican primary voters had not yet voted.[1]

Supports. The Texas Tribune reported on Oct 27 that more than 2.1 million Texans voted in one of the last four Republican primaries but had yet to vote in the general election.[2]

Supports. Dan Patrick said in Corpus Christi that 'almost two million Republicans' had not yet voted, and this is reported alongside Ryan's data.[3]

Context. Texas voters do not register by party, so Republican counts are estimated from past primary participation; a Nov 2 Houston Chronicle analysis reports about 2.7 million likely-to-vote non-voters, which uses a broader measure.[4][5]

Sources

5 sources: 5 not rated

  1. 1Record Texas turnout possible as early voting points to a ...nbcdfw.com · not rated · cited for: supports
  2. 2Texas early voting rate is slightly behind 2018, when Beto O'Rourke ...houstonpublicmedia.org · not rated · cited for: supports
  3. 3Trump Returns to Texas as GOP Leaders Seek to Boost Turnoutthetexasvoice.com · not rated · cited for: supports
  4. 4Early voting matched 2018 pace, setting stage for record midterm turnouthoustonchronicle.com · not rated · cited for: context
  5. 5In first week of early voting, 4.5 million Texans cast a ballottexastribune.org · not rated · cited for: context

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