Polygraph

Lula da Silva received 51.75% of the vote, totaling about 64 million votes, in the Brazilian presidential election.

Posted by REAL AF with Andy Frisella, Checked

Polygraph verdictTrue
Sources
6 support1 context
Said
1 time·
Confidence
90%
REAL AF with Andy FrisellaOct 28, 2026
View on Podcast ↗
Video frame
78 claimsThe check →

The claimed 51.75% share and roughly 64 million votes for Lula match the reported runoff results. Sources give 51.7% to 51.8% (AP and NYT 51.8%, EFE 51.76%, Irish Times 51.75%), and Brazil's electoral data show 64,256,232 votes, which is about 64 million.

A guest makes this claim. Listeners heard it, so it counts against the post, and on the guest's own record.

What was said

… Now he's up against, or was up against, a conservative senator, Flavio Bolsonaro, um, which this entire time they said it was a pretty gonna be a pretty tight race, right? Now there was a lead. Lula was in the lead with, ah, 51 point 75%, about 64 million of the votes. Um, Bolsonaro was at 48.25%, about 59 million votes, right? Um, but something weird happened, right? Something weird happened. So they in Brazil, they have this deadline for your elections, right? Like, at, you know, let's call it 8 p.m., done. …
REAL AF with Andy Frisella · · from the transcriptPost →

What we found

Supports. AP reports that Lula won 51.8% of the vote with all votes counted, according to Brazil's electoral court.[1]

Supports. Agência Brasil reports Lula received 64,256,232 votes in the second round, which matches the claimed figure of about 64 million.[3]

Supports. EFE reports 51.76% of the vote with 99.81% of ballots counted, and the Irish Times reports 51.75% with nearly 99% counted, both within rounding of the claimed 51.75%.[4][5]

Supports. The New York Times reports 51.8% according to official preliminary results, and Valor reports 51.8% or 64.2 million votes as of the 10 p.m. count.[2][6]

Context. France 24 reports 51.7%, a minor rounding difference from the claimed figure. The claim's figures match the reported results across sources, and the post's other assertions about the Supreme Court and voting extension are not graded here.[7]

Sources

7 sources: 1 fact-checker, 1 tier 2, 5 not rated

  1. 1Brazil votes in a tense Lula vs Bolsonaro runoff as extended ...apnews.com · fact-checker · cited for: supports
  2. 2The presidential election in Brazil is a test of Trump’s power as a kingmaker.nytimes.com · tier 2 · cited for: supports
  3. 3Lula’s vote count highest ever for a presidential candidate ...agenciabrasil.ebc.com.br · not rated · cited for: supports
  4. 4Lula wins presidential election in an unprecedented comebackefe.com · not rated · cited for: supports
  5. 5Lula wins fourth term as Brazil's president over Flávio Bolsonaroirishtimes.com · not rated · cited for: supports
  6. 6Lula wins historic comeback, bucking global rightward shiftvalorinternational.globo.com · not rated · cited for: supports
  7. 7Brazil's Lula thanks voters for his victory, Bolsonaro does ...france24.com · not rated · cited for: context

Where this claim was made

Said in 1 published post

How Polygraph checks a claim

Our Weekly Newsletter

The Readout

The week's most-shared posts, checked. What they claimed, how they argued, and what held up.

Unsubscribe any time. See our privacy policy.