Polygraph

@SpeakerJohnson

Speaker Mike Johnson

56th Speaker of the House | Christian, husband, dad, Constitutional law attorney & small biz owner.

Mixed60% confidence9 sourcesOct 30, 2026The current murder rate is at a 120-year low under the Republican administration.The sources support that the US murder rate (about 4.1–4.2 per 100,000 in 2025, tying the lowest since national estimates began, and further down in 2026) is at or near a record low, and that the White House and some commentators attribute it to the Trump administration. However, the record-low claim is only supported back to 1955/1956 by FBI data or to 1900 by the Council on Criminal Justice's broader estimates, and experts (Pew, Stateline/CCJ survey, PolitiFact) say no single cause, including administration policy, is established, so the 'under the Republican administration' attribution is contested while the 'historic low' figure itself is supported.Mixed45% confidence7 sourcesOct 29, 2026Republicans spent nearly half a million dollars to secure a spot on the ballot in Alaska for an Arizona resident in the Senate race.The claim is extracted faithfully from the spokesperson's statement, but the only source giving the 'nearly half a million dollars' figure is that Democratic spokesperson's quote, which is the claimant's own words and cannot corroborate itself. The Alaska Beacon reports that Republican-aligned Fair Deal Alaska spent more than $800,000 on mailers and calls boosting several fringe candidates, including an Arizona resident (Richard Grayson), and that Right for Alaska spent millions, so Republican-linked spending for an Arizona resident is supported. However, no source ties a figure near $500,000 to securing a ballot spot for an Arizona resident specifically, and the reported spending was for primary campaign advertising, not ballot access.Mixed60% confidence10 sourcesOct 29, 2026Republicans enacted the largest middle class tax cuts in U.S. history.Republicans and allied sources (sources 4-9) repeatedly describe the 2025 One Big Beautiful Bill as the largest middle-class/working-class tax cut in history, so the claim has partisan support, but no authoritative source corroborates that superlative; the AP/CRFB fact check on the related 'largest tax cut in history' framing says it is not the largest overall, with Reagan's 1981 cut and 1945 cut larger as a share of the economy. The claim is ambiguous: it is supported only as a self-description by Republican officials, while the independent AP record contradicts the broader 'largest ever' framing for overall tax cuts and does not rank middle-class cuts specifically.Mixed50% confidence10 sourcesOct 29, 2026Mike Johnson campaigned in more than 40 districts across 22 states during the month of October 2026.Johnson's October campaigning is well documented, but the claim's specific figures of more than 40 districts and 22 states are disputed. Reuters and Townhall report 39 districts in 21 states over roughly three to four weeks, while the 40-plus and 22 figures mostly echo Johnson's own statements. The extracted claim also changes the passage's 'I'm campaigning just this month' into a completed past-tense 'campaigned' and drops the first-person framing.Minor detail. The sources confirm the claim; only a minor detail differs, such as a name's spelling, a title's wording or a rounding.Mixed60% confidence5 sourcesOct 29, 2026A group of six Democratic members of Congress, calling themselves 'The Bloc', intends to interfere with Hakeem Jeffries' race to become Speaker.The core assertion is supported: Axios reports that 'The Bloc,' an informal faction, is coordinating to use a potential speaker election and procedural votes as leverage against Jeffries, and Politico and the Washington Sun describe progressives withholding support for him. However, the sources describe The Bloc's members as candidates who won primaries and are expected to win in November, not sitting members of Congress as of 2026-10-29, and the sources do not establish that exactly six Bloc members exist. The passage's own wording was 'these six' and 'the Block,' so the extraction is faithful on the six and on the intent to interfere, but 'members of Congress' departs from the sources.Mixed55% confidence5 sourcesOct 29, 2026The Democratic group known as 'The Bloc' demands Medicare for All, cutting off aid to Israel, abolishing ICE, and a moratorium on data centers.Sources support that people associated with 'The Bloc' cite Medicare for All, a data center moratorium, and withdrawing aid from Israel as priorities, and Politico reports its likely members campaigned on ending Israel aid and abolishing ICE. But the sources describe The Bloc as an informal, unnamed faction of likely incoming House members whose demands are preliminary and 'not finalized', so the claim's framing of a formal group that 'demands' these four things overstates the record. The passage's 'They want...' was also not tied to a named group, so the Bloc identification comes from the sources, not the speaker.Mixed60% confidence7 sourcesOct 28, 2026The Democratic Party opposes requirements for voter identification.The sources support that Senate Democrats in Congress oppose the federal photo-ID mandate in the SAVE America Act, but they contradict a blanket party-wide opposition to voter ID requirements: AP reports Democrats say they don't oppose voter ID and propose loosening it, and FactCheck.org notes Democratic-represented states such as Georgia and Rhode Island require voter ID. The original passage ('they are fighting the ID for voting laws') refers to the congressional fight, so the extracted claim broadens it to the whole party. As of 2026-10-24 the sources show the congressional opposition, not a uniform party position.Mixed60% confidence10 sourcesOct 28, 2026Non-citizens are illegally voting in elections.The claim 'Non-citizens are illegally voting in elections' is extracted from a speaker's assertion that noncitizens vote illegally; the sources confirm that some noncitizens have illegally voted (e.g., DOJ Washington case with 400+ registrants who voted, Ohio indictments, Michigan's 16 credible cases, Georgia and Iowa audits) while also showing such voting is exceedingly rare and not widespread or coordinated, so the unqualified claim is partly supported and partly contradicted by the record's scale, as of 2026-10-28.Mixed60% confidence6 sourcesOct 28, 2026Democrats voted against legislation to eliminate taxes on Social Security benefits.The claim is extracted from Trump-related rhetoric that Democrats voted against 'No Tax on Social Security.' Sources show Democrats opposed the broader 2025 tax law (OBBBA/Working Families Tax Cuts Act) that included a Social Security deduction, and Mike Johnson's tally says 212 Democrats opposed the 'No Tax on Social Security' provision, which supports the literal claim; however, FactCheck.org reports Democratic opposition stemmed mainly from the law's skewed benefits to the wealthy and Medicaid cuts rather than these provisions, and PolitiFact notes the Social Security break is a deduction that expires in 2028, not outright elimination of taxes on benefits.Mixed60% confidence8 sourcesOct 28, 2026Democrats in Congress voted against legislation to double the child tax credit.The sources support that Democrats in Congress unanimously voted against the 2025 tax law (OBBBA/Working Families Tax Cuts), which contained the child tax credit change. However, the claim that this legislation doubled the credit is contradicted by tier1 sources: the law raised the maximum credit from $2,000 to $2,200, while the doubling to $2,000 came from the 2017 TCJA. The extracted claim matches the passage's 'DOUBLING the child tax credit' wording, so no extraction drift to correct.Mixed60% confidence11 sourcesOct 27, 2026Serious violent crime fell 25% nationwide in 2025.The 25% figure matches the BJS National Crime Victimization Survey's preliminary decline in serious violent victimization (violent crime excluding simple assault) from 9.9 to 7.4 per 1,000 people, but police-reported measures show declines of roughly 9–11% (FBI 9.3–9.7%, BJS NIBRS 11%), so the claim holds only under the victimization measure. The extraction faithfully reflects the passage, which also omits which measure is meant.Mixed65% confidence9 sourcesOct 27, 2026Aggravated assault fell 31% nationwide in 2025.The 31% figure is accurate under the DOJ Bureau of Justice Statistics National Crime Victimization Survey, which reports aggravated assault victimization falling from 4.5 to 3.1 per 1,000 persons. Under the FBI's reported-crime measure, aggravated assault fell only about 7.2% in 2025, so the claim holds under one national measure and fails under the other. The passage's own wording was 'Aggravated assault DOWN 31%' with no stated measure, and the extracted claim adds 'nationwide' and '2025', which the NCVS does cover.

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