Polygraph

@SpeakerJohnson

Speaker Mike Johnson

56th Speaker of the House | Christian, husband, dad, Constitutional law attorney & small biz owner.

Scores

Average score

Mostly holds65

Claims checked

179across 37 checks

False

2916% of claims

Mixed

4726% of claims

True

8849% of claims

Can’t tell

158% of claims
DecJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovMonWedFri
Falls apartMostly failsMostly holdsHolds upNot scored
False88% confidence11 sourcesOct 30, 2026The current inflation rate is 3.4% under the Republican administration.The claim's 3.4% figure was the August 2026 inflation rate, not the rate on 2026-10-30. The September readings released before that date were 3.7% CPI (BLS) and 3.6% PCE (Commerce Department), so the current rate was not 3.4%. The claim matches the speaker's passage, and the sources identify the sitting president as Trump.False85% confidence6 sourcesOct 30, 2026Approximately 20 million illegal aliens entered the United States under the Democratic administration.The claim that about 20 million illegal aliens entered the US under the Democratic (Biden-Harris) administration is contradicted by fact-checkers and official CBP-based data: encounters since January 2021 are roughly 10-12 million, and DHS estimates about 4.2 million led to removals, so 20 million is roughly double the record. The claimant's passage said 'under Democrats,' which the extracted claim narrows to the Biden administration; the sources treat the 20 million figure as a claim that circulated and was dismissed, with the 18.6 million FAIR figure referring to the total resident illegal population, not entries.False85% confidence9 sourcesOct 30, 2026The Republican administration enacted the largest tax cut in U.S. history.Said by AThe claim that the Republican administration enacted the largest tax cut in U.S. history is contradicted by multiple tier1 fact-checkers: PolitiFact rated the claim Mostly False, ranking the One Big Beautiful Bill tied for sixth-largest by new cuts and third-largest combined with extended 2017 cuts, while AP, FactCheck.org, and BBC all note that other cuts (Reagan's 1981 cut, the 1945 rollback, Obama's 2012 extension) rank larger under standard GDP-based measures. The claim also has an extraction issue: the speaker's words were 'the largest tax cut,' and the claim adds 'Republican administration,' which is consistent with the Trump-administration framing in the sources.False80% confidence6 sourcesOct 30, 2026The Republican administration enacted the largest spending cut in U.S. history, totaling $1.6 trillion.Said by AThe claim that the Republican administration enacted the largest spending cut in U.S. history totaling $1.6 trillion is not supported: the $1.6 trillion figure is a nominal 10-year House-passed number, and Gigafact (citing CRFB and nonpartisan analysts) finds net spending decreases of about $1.2 trillion or $680 billion after interest, with the claim that it would be the largest ever rejected, ranking it second to a 2011 law of $2 trillion. The claimant's own quote is not evidence, and the extracted claim also drops the 'largest in history' framing's attribution to the speaker's assertion, which the sources do not corroborate.Mixed55% confidence8 sourcesOct 30, 2026The violent crime rate is at its lowest level in 126 years.Said by AViolent crime has fallen sharply and the 126-year-low framing is documented, but for homicides (CCJ, DHS, White House, all projecting the first half of 2026), not for the overall violent crime rate. The FBI puts the murder rate at 4.1 per 100,000, tied with 1955-1956, and USAFacts reports a 2025 violent crime rate of 327.6 without any 126-year comparison, so the claim as extracted is not directly confirmed on the violent crime rate measure. As of 2026-10-27 the FBI annual release (August 2026) and the DHS/CCJ mid-year data were already available, so no later change alters the assessment.Mixed60% confidence5 sourcesOct 30, 2026The number of illegal aliens entering the United States for the full fiscal year is zero under the Republican administration.The claim as extracted says the number of illegal aliens entering the US for a full fiscal year is zero, but the passage's narrower claim was zero releases/admissions. Sources support zero Border Patrol releases in FY2026, but they report about 98,708 southwest border apprehensions and 379,243 nationwide encounters, which contradicts a literal zero entries reading. The record supports the releases reading, not the literal entries reading.Mixed60% confidence9 sourcesOct 30, 2026The current murder rate is at a 120-year low under the Republican administration.The sources support that the US murder rate (about 4.1–4.2 per 100,000 in 2025, tying the lowest since national estimates began, and further down in 2026) is at or near a record low, and that the White House and some commentators attribute it to the Trump administration. However, the record-low claim is only supported back to 1955/1956 by FBI data or to 1900 by the Council on Criminal Justice's broader estimates, and experts (Pew, Stateline/CCJ survey, PolitiFact) say no single cause, including administration policy, is established, so the 'under the Republican administration' attribution is contested while the 'historic low' figure itself is supported.True60% confidence4 sourcesOct 30, 2026One million private sector jobs have been created in the United States in the last 19 months.Said by AFactCheck.org's October 2026 tally shows 1,006,000 private-sector jobs added from January 2025 through September 2026, and the White House says the private sector has created over one million jobs under Trump, so the figure is supported at roughly the claimed magnitude. The claim's 19-month window does not match the sources' roughly 20-month period exactly, and BLS benchmark revisions have lowered recent job growth, so confidence is moderate.True85% confidence8 sourcesOct 30, 2026Prescription drug costs have seen the largest decline in 60 years.Said by AThe claim matches the passage's scope: the BLS data reported in August 2026 show prescription drug prices fell 3.1% over the year ending July, the steepest annual decline since March 1963, which is more than 60 years. Factcheck.org confirms it is the largest one-year price decline in decades, while disputing the administration's causal credit, which the claim does not assert.True90% confidence5 sourcesOct 30, 2026Inflation hit 9.1% under the Democratic administration.The claim's core figure is supported: multiple tier1 and other sources report that year-over-year US inflation peaked at 9.1% in June 2022, during the Biden administration. The extracted claim matches the claimant's passage ("hit 9.1% under Democrats") and the sources confirm the figure occurred under the Democratic administration, though the record describes it as a peak of a cycle rather than the worst in American history.True95% confidence8 sourcesOct 30, 2026Looting, riots, and buildings burning are occurring in France.Multiple tier1 sources (AP, Reuters, BBC) and CNN report looting, riots, and buildings set on fire in France during the October 2026 cost-of-living protests, including the Limoges town hall and shops looted in several cities, as of the claim date of 2026-10-30. The claim's extraction from the speaker's passage is faithful in substance, though the speaker's framing of a future warning about 'EXTREME radical Democrats' is opinion and not what is graded here.

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