Polygraph

@SpeakerJohnson

Speaker Mike Johnson

56th Speaker of the House | Christian, husband, dad, Constitutional law attorney & small biz owner.

Scores

Average score

Mostly holds65

Claims checked

179across 37 checks

False

2916% of claims

Mixed

4726% of claims

True

8849% of claims

Can’t tell

158% of claims
DecJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovMonWedFri
Falls apartMostly failsMostly holdsHolds upNot scored
False85% confidence6 sourcesOct 25, 2026Mike Johnson raised $860 million for House Republicans since becoming Speaker.The claim's $860 million figure is contradicted by the sources, which put Johnson's fundraising for House Republicans since becoming Speaker at about half a billion dollars (AP) or over $200 million to $220 million (Axios and Johnson's own office), roughly half to a quarter of the claimed amount. The extraction matches the claimant's passage in both figure and scope, so the figure itself is the problem, and no source supports $860 million as of 2026-10-25.False82% confidence5 sourcesOct 25, 2026The U.S. has the lowest violent crime rate in 126 years.The claim that the U.S. has the lowest violent crime rate in 126 years is contradicted by the FBI's 2025 data, which show the violent crime rate at 327.6 per 100,000 and the murder rate tied with 1955-56 as the lowest, not a 126-year low. PolitiFact and FactCheck.org both found the 126-year framing goes beyond the record, and the 126-year figure appears to derive from homicide projections rather than the overall violent crime rate.False90% confidence5 sourcesOct 25, 2026The economy inherited from the last administration had 40-year high inflation.The claim that the economy inherited from the last administration had 40-year high inflation is contradicted by sources showing the 40-year-high inflation peaked in June 2022 (9.1%) and had fallen to about 3% (2.9% in December 2024, 3.0% in January 2025) by the time the new administration took office. The passage's wording ('40 year high inflation') is a fair paraphrase of the claimed assertion, and the claim as extracted is checked as stated.False70% confidence6 sourcesOct 25, 2026Mike Johnson raised $860 million for House Republicans in the three years since becoming Speaker.The claimed $860 million is roughly four times the more than $220 million that Axios reports Johnson raised for House Republicans since becoming speaker in October 2023, and it exceeds the other figures in the sources, including AP's 'nearly half a billion.' The claim's wording matches the passage, and no source supports the $860 million figure.Mixed50% confidence8 sourcesOct 25, 2026Republicans cut $1.6 trillion in spending and regulations.The $1.6 trillion figure is repeatedly asserted by Republican officials as spending cuts from the One Big Beautiful Bill, but PolitiFact rated the related 'savings' framing False because the figure counts only spending reductions and ignores the lost tax revenue that increases the deficit. The regulatory half of the claim is supported only by the CRA repeal resolutions, and the $1.6 trillion regulatory savings figure rests on an unrated AI-generated summary. The extracted claim also drops the passage's qualifiers 'wasteful' and 'Biden era', which does not change the verdict.Mixed60% confidence8 sourcesOct 25, 2026There has been a decline in prescription drug costs over the last 60 years.The source passage claims the biggest decline in prescription drug costs in 60 years, which the BLS data in several sources supports: prescription drug prices fell 3.1% year over year in July 2026, the steepest drop since 1963. The extracted claim reads as a decline over the last 60 years, a cumulative reading the sources do not support (Newser describes the recent drop as bucking a decades-long trend), so the verdict is mixed. The extraction also drops the superlative, and sources dispute what drove the decline and whether it reflects manufacturer prices or out-of-pocket costs.Mixed60% confidence6 sourcesOct 25, 20261 million new private sector jobs were added in the last 19 months.The claim's figure of about 1 million private-sector jobs is close to FactCheck.org's count of 1,006,000 private-sector jobs added during Trump's term so far, but a separate source puts the 19-month figure at 825,000, and Reuters reports downward benchmark revisions. The result depends on the measurement window and revised data, so the verdict is mixed. The extracted claim matches the passage's figure, timeframe and scope.Mixed50% confidence10 sourcesOct 25, 2026The House Republican majority enacted $1.6 trillion in spending cuts.The $1.6 trillion figure for spending cuts appears in sources from House Republicans and Speaker Johnson's office, but independent-leaning sources describe the enacted bill differently: AP reports $1.9 trillion in savings largely from rolling back green energy tax credits, a net cost of $3.7 trillion, and Schneider's testimony cites $1.5 trillion in contemplated House cuts. Whether $1.6 trillion counts as spending cuts depends on the measure used. The extracted claim also drops the passage's superlative 'largest spending cut in US history,' which no source corroborates.True90% confidence8 sourcesOct 25, 2026Mike Johnson has served as Speaker of the House for three years.The claim matches the passage's point: Mike Johnson was elected Speaker on October 25, 2023, and sources dated October 2026 describe his three years in the role, so the claim holds as of today (2026-10-26). The extracted wording ('served ... for three years') is a faithful paraphrase of the claimant's 'third anniversary of your speakership' and does not overstate it.True90% confidence5 sourcesOct 25, 2026The United States has experienced the largest decline in prescription drug costs in 60 years.The sources consistently report that US prescription drug prices fell 3.1% in the year ending July 2026, the steepest annual decline since 1963 per BLS CPI data, and FactCheck.org confirms this as true. The sources dispute what caused the drop, but the claim asserts only the decline itself, so the disputed attribution does not contradict it.True85% confidence6 sourcesOct 25, 2026Fox News power rankings forecast 219 seats for Democrats and 198 seats for Republicans in the House of Representatives.Fox News' power rankings, written by Rémy Numa and published October 13, 2026, forecast Democrats with at least 219 House seats and Republicans with at least 198, with 18 toss-ups, which matches the claim. The claim drops the 'at least' qualifier from the source wording, and the sources show no Fox update that changed these figures by 2026-10-25.True75% confidence4 sourcesOct 25, 2026One million jobs were added in the private sector in the 19 months prior to October 2026.The sources support the core claim that about one million private-sector jobs were added during Trump's second term. FactCheck.org reports 1,006,000 private-sector jobs from January 2025 through September 2026, and a DOL statement says the administration has surpassed 1 million new private-sector jobs. The claim's 19-month window is not computed directly in the sources, which use a roughly 20-month term-to-date span, but that timing detail is not contradicted. The extracted claim matches the claimant's passage, which said a million private jobs were added in the last 19 months.

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