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21 claims · Clear filters
False70% confidence4 sourcesOct 27, 2026The generic ballot polling average is plus 11 for Democrats.Said by BThe claim that the generic ballot polling average was plus 11 for Democrats on 2026-10-27 is contradicted by the aggregate averages in the sources, which put the lead at roughly D+8 to D+9 (CNN Poll of Polls D+9 for 10/12-10/26; PollsMax D+8.7 on 10/23; Silver Bulletin 8.7 on 10/28 after a peak of 9.2). The +11 figure matches only the single NYT/Siena poll, which the post's speaker appears to be citing, so the claim conflates one poll with the average.False70% confidence5 sourcesOct 27, 202627 million people have voted early nationwide as of October 26, 2026.Said by BThe claimed 27 million early votes as of October 26 is below the counts reported for that date: the University of Florida Election Lab dashboard showed 30,263,458 at 1:45pm ET on October 26, and Fox Baltimore reported more than 30 million. The 27 million figure matches the Election Lab count reported a day earlier (27.7 to 28 million on October 25), so it appears to be an older snapshot.False60% confidence5 sourcesOct 27, 2026The current early vote is 53% Democratic and 39% Republican.Said by BThe claim's 53% Democratic and 39% Republican split for the early vote does not match any source's national figures around 2026-10-27. Same-period reporting shows roughly 45-46% Democratic and about 30% Republican by party registration, and the claim's 39% Republican share is not supported by any source. Later data (about 43% Democratic and 32% Republican by 10-31) also does not match, and the post's own 53/39 figures are unsourced.False65% confidence4 sourcesOct 27, 2026The Black vote share in North Carolina early voting is almost double what it has been in the past.Said by AThe claim that the Black share of North Carolina early voting is almost double its past level is not supported. Sources on the same data put Black voters at roughly 21-22% of early ballots against about 19% of registered voters, and about 18-20% in past midterm and presidential cycles, a rise of a few percentage points rather than a doubling. The 60%+ increase in Black ballots compared with 2022 is a rise in raw numbers, not in share, and the speaker appears to have conflated the two.Reported in the post, not stated as its own.Mixed45% confidence3 sourcesOct 27, 2026The partisan breakdown of the early vote at this point in 2024 was 47% Democratic and 44% Republican.Said by BThe post's 2024 comparison (47-44, a three-point Democratic lead) is faithfully extracted, but no source gives this national 2024 breakdown. The closest 2024 figures disagree: CNN's October 2024 analysis of 27 states shows Democrats at 39% and Republicans at 35% of the early vote (a four-point lead at different levels), while an unrated IBTimes piece cites a six-point Democratic turnout lead at the same point in 2024.Mixed55% confidence4 sourcesOct 27, 2026Hispanic voter participation in early voting is 41% higher than at this point in 2022.Said by BThe direction is supported: Hispanic early voting is well above 2022 levels. But the 41% figure does not match the national count in the sources, where TargetSmart shows 3.8 million Hispanic voters versus 2.35 million in 2022, an increase of roughly 62%. Texas (about 87%) and Mecklenburg County (about tripling) show larger increases still, and no source reports a share-based 41% figure, so the claim's magnitude depends on the measure used.Mixed55% confidence7 sourcesOct 27, 2026Democrats are polling a point or two ahead in Senate races in Texas, Ohio, and Alaska.Said by APolling averages from late October show Democrats ahead in all three races, but by different margins: Alaska is about 2 points, while Texas (about 3.9) and Ohio (about 2.8 to 4.7) run somewhat above 'a point or two'. The claim's direction is right, and its figures fall within the range of individual polls, but they understate the averages for Texas and Ohio.True95% confidence7 sourcesOct 27, 2026Donald Trump stated that the Brazilian election looked like a rigged election.Multiple tier-1 outlets (Reuters, AP, The Hill, Politico) directly quote Trump on Monday, October 26, 2026, saying the Brazilian election "looked like another rigged election" and that it looked bad, though he offered no evidence and said he did not take sides. The claim is faithfully extracted from the passage and is accurate as of the posting date.True65% confidence8 sourcesOct 27, 2026Brent crude oil is priced at 115 dollars per barrel.Said by BOn 2026-10-27, Brent was trading at roughly $115 a barrel: Reuters quoted $115.15 early that day, and other outlets reported $114.72 to $116.42 intraday, with the EIA spot price for Oct 20 at $115.22. The post said Brent was "up" at "1:15", which the extraction read as $115; the extracted claim drops the "up", and Brent actually fell on Oct 27 (settling near $113.88), so the directional part of the post is contradicted even though the price level holds.True90% confidence6 sourcesOct 27, 2026The New York Times reported that Donald Trump hit a new low in polling.Said by BThe New York Times/Siena poll published October 21, 2026 reported that Trump's approval hit a new low (36% approve, 59% disapprove), its lowest in any Times/Siena poll, so the claim that the NYT reported a new polling low is supported. The claimant's broader point that every article said so is not checked, and the extraction matches the passage's NYT reference.True95% confidence5 sourcesOct 27, 2026Donald Trump stated that anyone reporting voter fraud in past elections or the 2026 midterm election will be paid 1 million dollars upon the arrest and conviction of those who created the fraud.Said by AMultiple reliable outlets, including Reuters, NBC News and The New York Times, directly quote Trump's October 26, 2026 Truth Social post promising $1 million for reporting voter fraud that leads to arrest and conviction, covering both past elections and the 2026 midterms. The extracted claim matches the post's wording, and the sources do not dispute that he made the statement. Sources note that the funding source and administration of the reward were not specified, which does not affect whether he stated it.Reported in the post, not stated as its own.True80% confidence7 sourcesOct 27, 2026Over 40 states are currently reporting early voting data.Said by BSources published days after the 2026-10-27 claim report early voting data from 46 to 47 states plus D.C., so 'over 40 states' is supported as of the claim date. The AP-compiled figures (47 states) and a tracker-based count (46 states) agree, though the 47-state AP figure is dated 10-30 and the 46-state count 10-28, so both postdate the claim by a few days.