The partisan breakdown of the early vote at this point in 2024 was 47% Democratic and 44% Republican.
Posted by The DSR Network, Checked
- Sources
- 2 contradict1 context
- Said
- 1 time·
- Confidence
- 45%
The DSR NetworkOct 27, 2026
The post's 2024 comparison (47-44, a three-point Democratic lead) is faithfully extracted, but no source gives this national 2024 breakdown.
A detail. The sources confirm the gist; the verdict faults a detail such as a date, number or wording.
What was said
… So we, you know, we, we will, it, this is a good number, and, and we should be happy with that number, in part because we've seen turnout being, you know, turnout has come up so much since '22. Okay, so 53 to 39, Democrat to Republican. What was it in 2024? What was the partisan breakdown in 2024 at this point? It was 47-44, so we only had a three point lead, and this time we have a, as you were saying earlier, we have a 14 point lead, so we're doing about 11 points better than we were at this time in 2024. …
The DSR Network · · from the transcriptPost →What we found
Contradicts. CNN's October 29, 2024 analysis, covering 27 states with comparable data, reports Democrats at 39% and Republicans at 35% of the early vote at that point in 2024, not 47% and 44%.[1]
Contradicts. An IBTimes article reports that at this point in 2024 Democrats had a six-point lead in early voting turnout, which does not match the claimed three-point lead, though it measures turnout rather than vote share and is unrated.[2]
Context. NBC News reports national aggregate early and mail-in data by registration (41% Democratic, 38% Republican), but the figures are from a different measure, have unclear timing, and do not match the claimed 47-44 breakdown.[3]
Context. The claim's three-point margin is directionally consistent with the CNN margin, but the claimed levels are about eight points higher than CNN's, and the post's figures come from the claimant's own remarks, which are not evidence.[1]
Sources
3 sources: 2 tier 2, 1 not rated
- 1www.cnn.com · 2024/10/29 · politicsOne week from Election Day, early voters look different than ...cnn.com · tier 2 · cited for: contradicts, context
- 2Democrats Are Holding the Lead In Early Voting Turnout Ahead ...ibtimes.com · not rated · cited for: contradicts
- 3Early Voting and Mail-In Ballots by State 2024 Results - NBC Newsnbcnews.com · tier 2 · cited for: context
Where this claim was made
Said in 1 published post
Related claims
- The current early vote is 53% Democratic and 39% Republican.False
- The early voting electorate is currently 70% white, compared to 75% white at this point in 2022.Can’t tell
- In Senate battleground states, registered Democrats make up 47% of early voters and registered Republicans make up 35%.Mixed
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