The Black vote share in North Carolina early voting is almost double what it has been in the past.
Posted by The DSR Network, Checked
- Sources
- 3 contradict1 support
- Said
- 1 time·
- Confidence
- 65%
The DSR NetworkOct 27, 2026
The claim that the Black share of North Carolina early voting is almost double its past level is not supported. Sources on the same data put Black voters at roughly 21-22% of early ballots against about 19% of registered voters, and about 18-20% in past midterm and presidential cycles, a rise of a few percentage points rather than a doubling.
This claim is about the present, so it is judged as of the day it was checked.
What was said
… We're looking at potentially a pretty hello. We do expect that to get more Republican as time goes on, goes on, but Republicans are running significantly behind where they are, and a big part of that is not only that Black vote share is almost double what it has been in the past as of right now, but, ah, it is, and I this is, this is where Republicans really need to step it up." So here Rich Barris is treating North Carolina as a sort of baseline for other states. …
The DSR Network · · from the transcriptPost →What we found
Contradicts. A State Board-based analysis reports Black voters at about 21.2% of early ballots in 2026, against 18.6% in 2022, 19.5% in 2020, and 17.8% in 2024, which is a gain of a few points rather than a doubling.[1]
Contradicts. ABC11 reports that Black voters make up nearly 22% of ballots cast so far, against slightly more than 19% of registered voters, a modest over-representation rather than a doubled share.[2]
Contradicts. Commentary on the early vote says Black share is ahead of its 2022 level and of registration (22% vs 19%), again describing a modest rise in share.[3]
Supports. Black ballot counts are well above the prior midterm pace (about 279,688 vs roughly 170,000 at the same point in 2022), so the raw-number growth is real, but it is a count increase of roughly 60%, not a share that doubled.[4]
Context. Data as of 2026-10-27 shows Black voters' early share rising from the high teens to about 22%, which is the magnitude the record supports. The claim's 'almost double' figure is grossly off.[1][2]
Sources
4 sources: 4 not rated
- 1Early Voting Is Over. Here's What the Numbers Saycarolinaforward.org · not rated · cited for: contradicts, context
- 2One week until midterm elections, early voting continues to ...abc11.com · not rated · cited for: contradicts, context
- 3Day 14 of NC Early Voting: So, So, So Closencpoliticscenter.substack.com · not rated · cited for: contradicts
- 4Early tallies show black voters turning out in big numbers ...washingtonexaminer.com · not rated · cited for: supports
Where this claim was made
Said in 1 published post
Related claims
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