According to The Washington Post, 1 in 5 reliable conservative voters are not sure they will show up to vote in the midterms.
Posted by The Charlie Kirk Show, Checked
- Sources
- 2 support2 context
- Said
- 1 time·
- Confidence
- 60%
The Charlie Kirk ShowJul 30, 2026
The 1-in-5 figure for reliable conservative voters is reported as coming from WaPo's coverage of an AFP Action analysis dated July 26, 2026, before the claim's July 30 date.
This claim is about the present, so it is judged as of the day it was checked.
What was said
… If you want to know, Blake, to your point earlier, I think it was really well made, why we're having flagging enthusiasm, why people, 1 in 5, according to The Washington Post, of reliable conservative voters are not sure they're going to show up in the midterms, if you want to know why, it's because they want the agenda passed that we elected Donald Trump for, and that's not happening, at least not at the speed that we want it to. …
The Charlie Kirk Show · · from the transcriptPost →What we found
Supports. A July 26, 2026 Daily Beast report says an analysis found 1 in 5 reliable GOP voters in six states weighing either staying home or voting for Democrats, and that the AFP Action analysis was told to The Washington Post.[1]
Supports. A July 26, 2026 article citing a Washington Post headline says about one in five reliable conservative voters who regularly voted in past elections are considering staying home or supporting Democrats, based on AFP Action surveys.[2]
Context. The measure in the supporting reports combines staying home with defecting to Democrats rather than uncertainty about turnout alone, so the figure is somewhat broader than the claim's wording.[1][2]
Context. A later Washington Post piece (October 25, 2026) reports that about 1 in 5 Trump voters now disapprove of Trump, a different group and measure, so it does not bear directly on the claim.[3][4]
Sources
4 sources: 2 not rated, 1 tier 2, 1 tier 3
- 1GOP Sounds Alarm Over 'Scary' Trump Voter Problemthedailybeast.com · not rated · cited for: supports, context
- 2Republicans Are Dreading the Midterm Elections – The Washington Postua.news · not rated · cited for: supports, context
- 3These are the midterm deciders: They voted for Trump and now disapprove of himwashingtonpost.com · tier 2 · cited for: context
- 4'I fell for it three times': Furious Trump voters threaten to ...rawstory.com · tier 3 · cited for: context
Where this claim was made
Said in 1 published post
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