Polygraph

Donald Trump won Mississippi by 24 points in 2024.

Posted by The Briefing with Jen Psaki, Checked

Polygraph verdictTrue
Sources
1 contradict7 support
Said
1 time·
Confidence
65%
The Briefing with Jen PsakiOct 23, 2026
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45 claimsThe check →

Trump won Mississippi in 2024 by about 23 points, with certified results showing 60.9% to 38.0%, a 22.9-point margin. The claim's 24-point figure is about one point high, which is casual imprecision rather than a contradiction; the only source showing roughly 24 points is a partial-count snapshot.

What was said

… There's a lot of excitement about his race, and we'll be right back. Some Trump and Republicans are playing defense in races across the country, even in deep red Mississippi. Republicans are so worried about Mississippi that Trump is going to spend valuable time on Monday, just a week before the election, campaigning in a state he won by 24 points just two years ago. Incumbent Republican Senator Cindy Hyde smith is facing Democratic challenger Scott Kohl. She refuses to debate him. …
The Briefing with Jen Psaki · · from the transcriptPost →

What we found

Supports. Certified AP results and Reuters tallies show Trump at 60.9% and Harris at 38.0%, a margin of 22.9 points.[1][2][3][6]

Supports. NBC News and the NYT and NPR pieces describe Trump's 2024 Mississippi margin as about 22.9 to 23 points.[4][5][7]

Contradicts. The 24-point figure is closest to a Politico snapshot showing Trump at 61.6% and Harris at 37.3% with only 93.7% of expected votes counted. That partial count is superseded by the final results, so it only slightly disputes the magnitude.[8]

Context. The claim's wording matches the passage's 'a state he won by 24 points just two years ago', so the claim is a faithful extraction and the only issue is the magnitude.

Sources

8 sources: 2 fact-checkers, 4 tier 2, 2 not rated

  1. 1Mississippi election results 2024reuters.com · fact-checker · cited for: supports
  2. 22024 Mississippi Election Results | AP Newsapnews.com · fact-checker · cited for: supports
  3. 3Mississippi election results 2024 | CNN Politicscnn.com · tier 2 · cited for: supports
  4. 4Mississippi Midterm Elections 2026: Key Races, Candidates and Past Resultsnbcnews.com · tier 2 · cited for: supports
  5. 5What to Know About Trump's Rally in Mississippinytimes.com · tier 2 · cited for: supports
  6. 62024 United States presidential election in Mississippi - Wikipediaen.wikipedia.org · not rated · cited for: supports
  7. 7Trump travels to Mississippi to campaign before the midtermsnews.wjct.org · not rated · cited for: supports
  8. 8Mississippi Election Results 2024: Live Map - Races by County ...politico.com · tier 2 · cited for: contradicts

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