In the 2024 election, Donald Trump won Texas's 15th congressional district by 18 percentage points.

Posted by IHIP News, Aug 27, 2026Checked Nov 2, 2026

Polygraph verdictTrue

Sources: 5 support2 context
Said: 1 time·
Confidence: 80%

IHIP NewsAug 27, 2026

Multiple sources report Trump carried Texas's 15th District by about 18 points in 2024 (PollCheck: 58.5% to 40.6%, R+17.9; other outlets: +18 or nearly 18), which is consistent with the claim within rounding.

What was said

… SCOTUS has jumped in on it, and now we all know why Republican efforts to gerrymander are backfiring. Pop this up: new polls. The Dummy Mandar, Maine, the wonk is posting, I warned GOP about, is real, reflected in House and Senate polling. Texas 15, in 2024, Trump won this by plus 18. The Democrat is up by five points. Texas 28, a district Trump won by plus 10 in '24, the, uh, Democrat is up plus 11. Texas 34, Trump won this district by plus 10. The Democrat is up by 3. …

IHIP News · Aug 27, 2026· from the transcriptPost →

What we found

Supports. Click2Houston and San Antonio Express-News both report Trump +18 in the district (58.5% to 40.6%) under both the former and current district lines.[2][3]

Supports. PollCheck's precinct-based calculation gives Trump 58.5% to Harris 40.6%, a margin of R+17.9 on the 2026 lines and R+17.8 on the 2024 lines.[4]

Supports. Newsweek and Washington Sun both state Trump carried the district by 18 points, or nearly 18, in 2024.[5][6]

Context. The AP and other sources cite De La Cruz's 2024 House margin of about 14 to 15 points, which is a different race from the presidential margin the claim describes.[1][4][7]

Sources

7 sources: 1 fact-checker, 6 not rated

1AP Decision Notes: What to expect in Texas on Election Dayapnews.com · fact-checker · cited for: context
2Texas congressional races 2026: Who is running and what to know ...click2houston.com · not rated · cited for: supports
3Texas congressional races 2026: Who is running, what to ...mysanantonio.com · not rated · cited for: supports
4Texas's 15th Congressional District (TX-15) | PollCheckpollcheck.co.uk · not rated · cited for: supports, context
5Democrats lead the GOP in three Texas Latino districts Trump carried—Pollnewsweek.com · not rated · cited for: supports
6Monica De La Cruz's Reelection Bid Is Testing Trump's Fragile ...washingtonsun.com · not rated · cited for: supports
7Once-safe GOP seat in South Texas now a toss-up, poll findsrmb.reuters.com · not rated · cited for: context

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Said in 1 published post

IHIP News · Aug 27, 2026Post →

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