In Senate battleground states, registered Democrats make up 47% of early voters and registered Republicans make up 35%.
Posted by The Parnas Perspective, Checked
- Sources
- 1 contradict1 support1 context
- Said
- 1 time·
- Confidence
- 60%
The Parnas PerspectiveOct 26, 2026
The 47% Democratic and 35% Republican early-vote shares match NBC/TargetSmart's national figures, not the Senate-battleground figures the claim attributes them to. NBC/TargetSmart's battleground-specific data (published Oct 30, five days after the claim) shows Democrats at 46% and Republicans at 40%, so the Republican share is contradicted; the sources do not give an Oct 26 battleground snapshot.
A detail. The sources confirm the gist; the verdict faults a detail such as a date, number or wording.
This claim is about the present, so it is judged as of the day it was checked.
What was said
… Michigan has already surpassed a million ballots. Virginia is up about 80% from four years ago, and right now, the early vote is concentrated in districts where Republicans are playing, quote, defense, not offense. In the Senate battleground states, registered Democrats make up 47% of early voters, compared with 35% of registered Republicans. In North Carolina, early voting among registered Democrats is up 47%, and among unaffiliated voters, up 60%. Republican early voting is up just 2.6%. …
The Parnas Perspective · · from the transcriptPost →What we found
Contradicts. For Senate battleground states specifically, NBC/TargetSmart data reports registered Democrats at 46% and registered Republicans at 40%, so the claimed 35% Republican share does not match the battleground figure.[1]
Supports. NBC/TargetSmart data shows nationally that registered Democrats cast 47% and registered Republicans 35% of early and mail ballots, matching the claimed figures for the whole country.[1][2]
Context. An earlier Washington Examiner live blog citing NBC data reported battleground early and mail votes at 47% Democratic and 39% Republican, consistent with the later battleground figures showing a higher Republican share than the claim states.[3]
Context. Sources are dated after the claim's Oct 26 posting date and report slightly different snapshots, so the battleground split on Oct 26 itself is not directly documented.[1][3]
Sources
3 sources: 3 not rated
- 1Democrats Eye Sweep: House Likely, Senate Within Reachnewsquawk.com · not rated · cited for: contradicts, supports, context
- 239 million people have already voted in this year's midterm as ...yahoo.com · not rated · cited for: supports
- 32026 midterm elections live updates: Latest news, results, and analysiswashingtonexaminer.com · not rated · cited for: context
Where this claim was made
Said in 1 published post
Related claims
- In North Carolina, early voting among registered Democrats is up 47% and among unaffiliated voters is up 60%.True
- The partisan breakdown of the early vote at this point in 2024 was 47% Democratic and 44% Republican.Mixed
- The current early vote is 53% Democratic and 39% Republican.False
- Early voting is up 69 percent in Kansas, 41 percent in Maine, and 24 percent in Iowa.Mixed
- Hispanic voter participation in early voting is 41% higher than at this point in 2022.Mixed