Democrats are polling a point or two ahead in Senate races in Texas, Ohio, and Alaska.

Posted by The DSR Network, Oct 27, 2026Checked Nov 2, 2026

Polygraph verdictMixed

Sources: 2 contradict5 support
Said: 1 time·
Confidence: 55%

The DSR NetworkOct 27, 2026

Polling averages from late October show Democrats ahead in all three races, but by different margins: Alaska is about 2 points, while Texas (about 3.9) and Ohio (about 2.8 to 4.7) run somewhat above 'a point or two'.

A detail. The sources confirm the gist; the verdict faults a detail such as a date, number or wording.

A guest makes this claim. Listeners heard it, so it counts against the post, and on the guest's own record.

This claim is about the present, so it is judged as of the day it was checked.

What we found

Contradicts. Averages for Texas and Ohio run larger than 'a point or two': FiftyPlusOne has Talarico ahead by 3.9 and Brown by 2.8, and the On Point average has Brown up 4.7 as of Nov 1.[2][3]

Supports. Alaska polling shows Peltola narrowly ahead of Sullivan, roughly 1.8 points in the FiftyPlusOne average and 2 points in the NYT/Siena poll, which fits 'a point or two'.[2][5][6]

Supports. Individual polls span the claimed magnitude, including Texas ties (Fox, 49-49) and small leads, and Ohio leads of 1 to 8 points in Reuters' October reporting.[1][4][7]

Context. Some polls show larger Democratic leads than the claim implies, such as Cook's Texas poll at +5 and NBC's Texas listing at +4.2, so the magnitude depends on which poll or average is used.[4][7]