Polygraph

The United Conservative Party lost the Calgary-Elbow by-election.

Posted by Power & Politics, Checked

Polygraph verdictCan’t tell
Sources
4 context
Said
1 time·
Confidence
30%
Power & PoliticsOct 21, 2026
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56 claimsThe check →

The claim departs from the passage: the post refers to the "Calver Show" by-election (almost certainly Calgary-Shaw, which the NDP's Kyle Campbell won over the UCP's Mike Derry in a 2026 by-election per sources 8 and 9), not Calgary-Elbow, which the post never names.

What was said

… It doesn't vanish because the leader says it should, and you don't leave because she tells you to go. Amanda, she has just gotten through a very difficult six months in which she saw her popularity drop, her party support drop, they lost the Calver Show by-election, and now she's headed for a fight with a significant portion of her base. I mean, she tried to thread a needle and couch it in complimentary terms: I understand your frustration, but this is not the place for you if this is what you want to do. …
Power & Politics · · from the transcriptPost →

What we found

Context. The claimant's passage says "they lost the Calver Show by-election" and never mentions Calgary-Elbow; the extraction substituted a different riding, so the post did not make this claim.

Context. CTV and CBC report that the UCP lost the Calgary-Shaw byelection on Monday to the NDP's Kyle Campbell, which matches the passage's "lost ... by-election" reference.[1][2]

Context. Calgary-Elbow results in the sources show UCP's Doug Schweitzer winning in 2019 and the NDP's Samir Kayande leading in 2023, with no 2026 Calgary-Elbow by-election reported, so the sources neither confirm nor refute a UCP loss there.[3][4]

Sources

4 sources: 4 not rated

  1. 1Upcoming referendum hurt Smith's governing UCP in Alberta byelection loss: criticsctvnews.ca · not rated · cited for: context
  2. 2News • Canada • Calgarycbc.ca · not rated · cited for: context
  3. 3Alberta Election Hub: Upcoming Votes, Results Since 2008 ...alberta.io · not rated · cited for: context
  4. 4Calgary-Elbowcanadianelectionsdatabase.ca · not rated · cited for: context

Where this claim was made

Said in 1 published post

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