Polygraph

The United Conservative Party lost the by-election in Calgary Shaw.

Posted by Power & Politics, Checked

Polygraph verdictTrue
Sources
5 support
Said
1 time·
Confidence
95%
Power & PoliticsOct 21, 2026
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56 claimsThe check →

The UCP lost the Calgary-Shaw by-election held September 14, 2026: the NDP's Kyle Campbell won, and official results from Elections Alberta confirmed UCP candidate Mike Derry finished second. The extraction faithfully reflects the passage, where the interviewer's "you" refers to Premier Smith's party and government.

What was said

… When you reflect on what's happened in this province over the course of this referendum campaign over the last six months, what do you think the province has gained from this? What do you think your party and your government has gained from this? You've seen a drop in your personal political support, your party's political support, you lost the by-election in Calgary Shaw. I mean, this has come at a pretty significant cost. I just wonder if you think it was all worth it. No, it certainly was worth it. When, uhm, when Mark Carney won in April of 2025, those who expressed an interest in separation was 45%. …
Power & Politics · · from the transcriptPost →

What we found

Supports. Elections Alberta's official results release states that the successful candidate in the Calgary-Shaw by-election was Kyle Campbell of the Alberta NDP, not the UCP.[1]

Supports. Official results reported by CTV and CityNews confirm Campbell as the winner over UCP candidate Mike Derry, with the NDP flipping a seat the UCP had held since 2019.[2][3]

Supports. Unofficial results reported by CBC and The Canadian Press on September 15 already showed Campbell ahead of Derry by 582 votes, consistent with the official outcome.[4][5]

Context. The passage's "you" is the interviewer addressing Premier Smith, so the claim about the party losing the seat is the post's own claim and not an extraction addition. Fact-checker sources in the set do not address this by-election directly.

Sources

5 sources: 5 not rated

  1. 1Official Results for Calgary-Shaw By-electionelections.ab.ca · not rated · cited for: supports
  2. 2It's official: Calgary-Shaw by-election results confirm NDP's Kyle Campbell winsctvnews.ca · not rated · cited for: supports
  3. 3Calgary-Shaw byelection results officially confirmed; voter turnout details releasedcalgary.citynews.ca · not rated · cited for: supports
  4. 4Alberta NDP win in Calgary-Shaw byelection | CBC Newscbc.ca · not rated · cited for: supports
  5. 5Alberta NDP wins byelection in southern riding of Calgary-Shawthecanadianpressnews.ca · not rated · cited for: supports

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