98% of people who voted against Donald Trump in the past say they will vote for House Republican candidates in the upcoming election.
Posted by Badlands Media, Checked
- Sources
- 2 contradict5 context
- Said
- 1 time·
- Confidence
- 60%
Badlands MediaOct 15, 2026
The claim departs from the passage: the 98% figure in the post refers to MAGA Republicans (who backed Trump 99% in 2024), not to people who voted against Trump, and no source reports a 98% figure for anti-Trump voters. Sources do show Republican likely voters at 96% supporting their party's candidates (ABC/Post/Ipsos, Oct.
Our two reads of who says this, and how, disagree, so it counts as the post's own claim.
This claim is about the present, so it is judged as of the day it was checked.
What was said
… Perhaps surprisingly, it might have voted a hundred percent, but it was 99%. Compare that to his approval rating now with the Mega GOP: it's 98%. That is, there's been no real decline in Mega support. These folks say that they're gonna vote for congressional Republicans: 100% of the people who voted against Trump. Look now, in terms of the congressional vote, 98% of them say they're gonna be voting for House Republican candidates, so that support is actually really holding up strong. It's really, really strong when it comes to Mega GOP and Republicans holding on to that vote for this one. Okay, the president Republicans most admire is Donald Trump. This is a historic comparison. …
Badlands Media · · from the transcriptPost →What we found
Contradicts. The Truth Social transcript describes the 98% as MAGA GOP support, and says 'these folks' are the MAGA GOP group that gave Trump 99% in 2024, so the referent is Trump's own base, not those who voted against him.[1][2]
Context. The ABC/Post/Ipsos poll reports 96% of Republican likely voters support their party's House candidates, a different group and figure from the claimed 98% among anti-Trump voters.[6][7]
Context. The NPR/PBS/Marist poll reports 44% of likely voters say their vote is mainly against Trump, but gives no figure for how those voters plan to vote in House races.[3][4]
Context. No source reports how people who voted against Trump in the past plan to vote in the House race, so the claimed 98% figure cannot be checked.[3][5][6]
Sources
7 sources: 4 not rated, 3 tier 2
- 1www.trumpstruth.org · statuses · 42070Donald J. Trump video post from October 1, 2026 - Trump’s Truthtrumpstruth.org · not rated · cited for: contradicts
- 2Post from October 26, 2026trump.fm · not rated · cited for: contradicts
- 3Democrats still poised to make gains, but poll shows warning signs for just how manynpr.org · tier 2 · cited for: context
- 4Poll gauges voter enthusiasm for both parties in midtermspbs.org · tier 2 · cited for: context
- 5Poll: Voters demand change and a check on Trump, fueling ...nbcnews.com · tier 2 · cited for: context
- 6Democrats lead Republicans in House vote choice as Trump’s ...wol.com · not rated · cited for: context
- 7Dems lead GOP in House vote choice: Pollgoodmorningamerica.com · not rated · cited for: context
Where this claim was made
Said in 1 published post
Related claims
- Donald Trump's current approval rating among the MAGA GOP is 98%.Mixed
- Donald Trump received 99% of the MAGA GOP vote in the 2024 election.Mixed
- Donald Trump's current approval rating among the Mega GOP is 98%.Mixed
- A CNN poll found that 99% of the Mega GOP voted for Donald Trump in the 2024 election.Mixed
- 77% of independents are not confident that Donald Trump will accept his party's losses.True