Polygraph

Donald Trump's current approval rating among the MAGA GOP is 98%.

Posted by The Dan Bongino Show, Checked

Polygraph verdictMixed
Sources
2 contradict2 support1 context
Said
1 time·
Confidence
55%
The Dan Bongino ShowOct 16, 2026
View on Podcast ↗
Video frame
74 claimsThe check →

As of 2026-10-16, the most recent MAGA-specific approval figure in the sources is 95%, from the Fox News poll conducted October 9-12 (down from 98% in its September poll), so calling 98% the current number is not what the latest data shows.

A detail. The sources confirm the gist; the verdict faults a detail such as a date, number or wording.

This claim is about the present, so it is judged as of the day it was checked.

What was said

… Here are the numbers. Okay, MAGA GOP on Trump in the 2024 election versus Kamala Harris: he got 99% of the MAGA GOP vote. Perhaps surprisingly, I might have thought it would be 100%, but it was 99%. Compare that to his approval rating now with the MAGA GOP: it's 98%. That is there's been no real decline in Macassar folks. That's not that's effectively a hundred percent. It just is. 98 99 margin of error polling even if it's 95, it doesn't matter. It's still unprecedented. Don't tell me the party's fractured. …
The Dan Bongino Show · · from the transcriptPost →

What we found

Contradicts. Newsweek (Oct 15) reports the October Fox News poll found 95% of MAGA Republicans approved of Trump, down from 98% in the prior poll, so 98% was not the current figure as of the claim date.[1]

Contradicts. Axios (Oct 18) reports Fox found 95% approval among self-described MAGA Republicans, consistent with the 95% October figure.[2]

Supports. CNN analyst Harry Enten reported Trump had a 98% approval rating among MAGA Republicans in September, which matches the claimed number but refers to an earlier period.[3][4]

Context. Overall approval among Republicans in other polls ranged from 75% to 83%, and the claimed MAGA figure is high relative to these subgroup readings but within the MAGA-specific range of roughly 95-98%.[2][5]

Context. Trump's own claim of 99% approval among the GOP is not supported by the independent polling cited in these sources.[3][5]

Sources

5 sources: 5 not rated

  1. 1Trump’s approval rating flips with non-MAGA Republicansnewsweek.com · not rated · cited for: contradicts
  2. 2Trump's sinking approval leaves GOP candidates in a bindaxios.com · not rated · cited for: contradicts, context
  3. 3Trump Ignores National Polls, Claims His Approval Rating Among Republicans is 99%mediaite.com · not rated · cited for: supports, context
  4. 4Donald Trump insists polls are fake and claims his approval rating is really at 60%yahoo.com · not rated · cited for: supports
  5. 5Trump serves up fantasyland cope as brutal reality bites on ...alternet.org · not rated · cited for: context

Where this claim was made

Said in 1 published post

How Polygraph checks a claim

Our Weekly Newsletter

The Readout

The week's most-shared posts, checked. What they claimed, how they argued, and what held up.

Unsubscribe any time. See our privacy policy.