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4 claims · Clear filters
False70% confidence4 sourcesOct 27, 2026The generic ballot polling average is plus 11 for Democrats.Said by BThe claim that the generic ballot polling average was plus 11 for Democrats on 2026-10-27 is contradicted by the aggregate averages in the sources, which put the lead at roughly D+8 to D+9 (CNN Poll of Polls D+9 for 10/12-10/26; PollsMax D+8.7 on 10/23; Silver Bulletin 8.7 on 10/28 after a peak of 9.2). The +11 figure matches only the single NYT/Siena poll, which the post's speaker appears to be citing, so the claim conflates one poll with the average.False70% confidence5 sourcesOct 27, 202627 million people have voted early nationwide as of October 26, 2026.Said by BThe claimed 27 million early votes as of October 26 is below the counts reported for that date: the University of Florida Election Lab dashboard showed 30,263,458 at 1:45pm ET on October 26, and Fox Baltimore reported more than 30 million. The 27 million figure matches the Election Lab count reported a day earlier (27.7 to 28 million on October 25), so it appears to be an older snapshot.False60% confidence5 sourcesOct 27, 2026The current early vote is 53% Democratic and 39% Republican.Said by BThe claim's 53% Democratic and 39% Republican split for the early vote does not match any source's national figures around 2026-10-27. Same-period reporting shows roughly 45-46% Democratic and about 30% Republican by party registration, and the claim's 39% Republican share is not supported by any source. Later data (about 43% Democratic and 32% Republican by 10-31) also does not match, and the post's own 53/39 figures are unsourced.False65% confidence4 sourcesOct 27, 2026The Black vote share in North Carolina early voting is almost double what it has been in the past.Said by AThe claim that the Black share of North Carolina early voting is almost double its past level is not supported. Sources on the same data put Black voters at roughly 21-22% of early ballots against about 19% of registered voters, and about 18-20% in past midterm and presidential cycles, a rise of a few percentage points rather than a doubling. The 60%+ increase in Black ballots compared with 2022 is a rise in raw numbers, not in share, and the speaker appears to have conflated the two.Reported in the post, not stated as its own.