Polygraph

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The Dan Bongino Show

Cumulus Podcast Network | Dan Bongino

The Dan Bongino Show delivers no-nonsense analysis of the day’s most important political and cultural stories. Hosted by the former Deputy Director of the FBI, former Secret Service agent, NYPD officer, and bestselling author Dan Bongino, the show cuts through media spin with facts, accountability, and unapologetic conviction. Whether it’s exposing government overreach, defending constitutional freedoms, or connecting the dots the mainstream media ignores, The Dan Bongino Show provides in-depth analysis of the issues shaping America today. Each episode features sharp commentary, deep dives into breaking news, and behind-the-scenes insight you won’t hear anywhere else. Apple: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/the-dan-bongino-show/id965293227?mt=2 Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/4sftHO603JaFqpuQBEZReL?si=PBlx46DyS5KxCuCXMOrQvw Rumble: https://rumble.com/c/bongino?e9s=src_v1_sa%2Csrc_v4_sa_o

Mixed68% confidence7 sourcesOct 16, 2026California has been closing state prisons under the administration of Jerry Brown and Gavin Newsom.Said by 4BThe Newsom part holds: sources report he closed several prisons from 2021 on, with five closed under him by late 2026. The Brown part is contradicted: a 2021 source says state prison closures came 'for the first time in nearly two decades,' and another calls the 2021 Newsom closure the first of several, while Brown only tried and failed to close Norco and oversaw population declines rather than closures.Mixed55% confidence5 sourcesOct 16, 2026Tens of thousands of dangerous, violent criminals have been released in California in the last few years due to decarceration policies.Said by 4BThe sources support that tens of thousands of people were released under California decarceration policies (roughly 30,000 in the first pandemic year per Scientific American, and about 19,000 under CDCR policies per the CA Policy Lab memo), but they contradict the 'dangerous, violent criminals' characterization: the CA Policy Lab and second-look reports describe releases as mostly for non-violent offenses, with very low re-offense rates. The verdict is about 2026-10-16, and the claim's 'last few years' timeframe is loosely matched because many releases date to 2011-2021.Mixed60% confidence7 sourcesOct 16, 2026The California State Auditor published a report showing that $24 billion of spending on homelessness could not be tracked.Said by 4BThe California State Auditor's April 2024 report found the state spent about $24 billion on homelessness over five years without consistently tracking spending or outcomes, so the core report and figure are supported. However, 'could not be tracked at all' overstates the findings, since the audit describes incomplete and inconsistent tracking rather than no tracking of the money.Mixed65% confidence5 sourcesOct 16, 2026A CEO of a non-profit in Los Angeles receives a 1.6 million dollar annual salary and lives in Hawaii.Said by 4BThe sources support that the CEO of a Los Angeles-based nonprofit (1736 Family Crisis Center, Carol Adelkoff) lived in Hawaii, but the $1.6 million figure is her total compensation over two years (2023-2024), not an annual salary. Her annual totals were about $908,000 (2023) and $742,000 (2024), and her base salary was about $405,000, so the claimed annual salary is roughly double the annual total and about four times base pay. The claim was made on 2026-10-16, and the sources from August to October 2026 describe the same arrangement as of that date.True70% confidence7 sourcesOct 16, 2026Transgender people comprise 1% of the American population.The claim's 1% figure matches the 2026 Williams Institute estimate that 1.0% of Americans aged 13 and older identify as transgender, and the Hill and NBC News also describe about 1%. The figure varies by measure: the same study gives 0.8% of adults, and other surveys range from 0.5% to 1.6%, so it is a rounded estimate rather than a precise count. The extraction faithfully paraphrases the passage, and the sources were checked against the 2026-10-16 posting date.True88% confidence7 sourcesOct 16, 2026Donald Trump is 80 years old.Said by ATrump was born June 14, 1946, so he turned 80 on June 14, 2026 and was 80 on the claim's date of 2026-10-16. The claim matches the post's wording, and the 2024 Full Fact piece giving his age as 78 predates the 2026 birthday, so it does not contradict it.True55% confidence6 sourcesOct 16, 2026The United States has the lowest murder rate and lowest violent crime rate in 126 years.Said by 2BSources support the claim's core: the FBI reports 2025 murder at 4.1 per 100,000, tied with 1955 and 1956, and the administration and Council on Criminal Justice say homicides are on pace for the lowest level in at least 126 years. No source disputes the violent-crime level itself, though FactCheck.org disputes the causal framing and the FBI series only begins in 1936, so the 126-year comparison rests on other estimates.True60% confidence4 sourcesOct 16, 2026One million private sector jobs have been created in the United States in the last 19 months.Said by 2BFactCheck.org's October 2026 tally shows 1,006,000 private-sector jobs added from January 2025 through September 2026, and the White House says the private sector has created over one million jobs under Trump, so the figure is supported at roughly the claimed magnitude. The claim's 19-month window does not match the sources' roughly 20-month period exactly, and BLS benchmark revisions have lowered recent job growth, so confidence is moderate.True65% confidence8 sourcesOct 16, 2026Democrats have held one-party rule in California for 16 years.Said by 4BThe claim's core, that Democrats have controlled California's governorship, statewide offices and legislature for about 16 years, is supported by several sources, most directly the LA Times opinion piece saying Democrats have held the governor's desk, every other statewide office and both legislative houses for nearly 16 years. The sources are mostly opinion or unrated, and the legislature has been Democratic for longer, so the 16-year figure refers to combined control rather than the legislature alone.True90% confidence6 sourcesOct 16, 2026The Department of Justice filed a lawsuit against California regarding the eligibility of voters on a list of 20,000 likely noncitizens.The DOJ filed suit against California on October 15, 2026 over a list of roughly 20,000 people it says are likely noncitizens registered to vote, as confirmed by a DOJ press release, Politico, CNN, and AP coverage. The claim's core assertion is fully supported; the post and the extraction match.True60% confidence7 sourcesOct 16, 2026Donald Trump is not running for office again.Said by AAs of 2026-10-16, Trump was not on the 2026 midterm ballot and had not declared a 2028 candidacy, and the sources say the 22nd Amendment bars him from another term, so the post's point that he is not running again holds. However, he repeatedly teased a third run and said he'd 'love to run' (Oct 23 and Nov 1 reports, after the post date), and the literal wording 'not running for office again' is stronger than what the sources show about 2028.True95% confidence7 sourcesOct 16, 2026Steve Hilton is a candidate running a statewide campaign in California.Said by AMultiple independent reliable sources (AP, CBS San Francisco, NYT, KTLA, ABC30) show Steve Hilton was the Republican nominee for California governor running a statewide campaign as of October 2026, consistent with the claim as of 2026-10-16. The 'really effective' characterization is opinion from the claimant and is not separately graded; the core assertion that he is a statewide candidate is supported.

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