Polygraph

Podcast · thebulwark.com

The Bulwark Daily

The Bulwark

Tim Miller and guests discuss the latest political news for the flagship podcast of the Never Trump movement and the reality-based community. Every weekday we provide insightful analysis, political hot-takes, an unabashed defense of liberal democracy and long-form interviews that cut through the "both-sides" BS. Plus a few laughs to help you wash down the crazy. Bulwark+ members can get a totally ad-free version of the show delivered right to their favorite podcast player.

True85% confidence6 sourcesSep 29, 2026Weezer is playing a concert at the Capital One Arena in Washington, DC.Said by BConcert listings published on or before the 2026-09-29 posting date show Weezer scheduled at Capital One Arena in Washington, DC on Friday, October 2, 2026, and a Parklife DC live review confirms the show took place there. The post's 'Capitol One Center' is a misnaming of the same DC venue, so the claim matches the passage. The concert was scheduled as of the posting date and later took place.True60% confidence7 sourcesSep 29, 2026Secretary Lutnick released a census report claiming it would identify thousands of non-citizen voters.Said by BMultiple sources show Commerce Secretary Lutnick announced the unsigned Census Bureau report claiming over 24,000 noncitizen voters in 2020, and predicted the next analysis would find tens of thousands more. The sources attribute posting to the Census Bureau rather than to Lutnick personally, a label difference that does not change the core claim.Disputed in the post.True70% confidence7 sourcesSep 29, 2026The President of the United States gave a prime time address two months ago accusing China of rigging past U.S. elections.Multiple tier-1 sources confirm President Trump gave a prime-time address on July 16, 2026, accusing China of interfering in the 2020 election and warning elections were vulnerable to being rigged; that is about 2.5 months before the September 29 post, so "two months ago" is a close approximation. Fact-checkers say the evidence he offered was overstated, but that does not undo the accusation itself.True55% confidence2 sourcesSep 29, 2026The President of the United States invited Chairman Sheik to the White House last week.Sources show Xi Jinping, China's leader with the title Chairman, made a state visit to the White House on September 23-25, 2026, at Trump's invitation, which fits 'last week' relative to the September 29 post. The post and claim spell the name 'Sheik', which no source uses; the context (China and election rigging) makes Xi the evident referent, so the verdict is true with reduced confidence because the name mismatch and thin sourcing leave some doubt.True85% confidence3 sourcesSep 29, 2026Secretary of War Pete Hegseth issued a memo regarding special notice to prevent foreign interference in the election with machines.Said by BMultiple reliable sources, including AP, CNN and a primary War Department release, confirm that Hegseth signed a memo (dated Sept. 22, publicly announced Sept. 28-29, 2026) directing military cyber and intelligence forces to defend US election systems from foreign interference. The post's 'special notice' wording is loose, but the core claim that he issued such a memo is supported, and the memo's date and phrasing match the post's timing.Reported in the post, not stated as its own.True80% confidence7 sourcesSep 29, 2026Mark Wayne Mullen released a report claiming there were 16,000 illegal voters.Said by BDHS Secretary Markwayne Mullin (the post's "Mark Wayne Mullen") publicly claimed in July 2026 that about 16,000 noncitizens were illegally on Nevada's voter rolls, with DHS's own press release giving 15,903; the claim is about the act of claiming, which is supported. The figure was later reduced to 185 and then to zero, and Nevada officials found those people were citizens, but that does not make the claim that it was made false.Disputed in the post.True68% confidence9 sourcesSep 29, 2026Beau French called for the execution of Donald Trump's political foes.Multiple outlets reporting on a CNN KFile investigation say Bo French, the Texas Railroad Commission Republican nominee (the post spells his name "Beau"), repeatedly called for public executions or the death penalty for political opponents, including Obama and Adam Schiff in 2020 posts tied to Trump's Russia investigation. Those reports trace back to a single investigation, so confidence is capped, and the sources do not describe French's targets as "Trump's foes" in those exact words.True95% confidence8 sourcesSep 29, 2026FBI Deputy Director Andrew Bailey has resigned.Multiple tier1 and tier2 sources (AP, Reuters, CBS, NYT, Politico, CNN, Bloomberg) report that FBI co-Deputy Director Andrew Bailey, the number two at the bureau, announced his resignation on September 28, 2026, citing family reasons; the resignation takes effect October 2. The extraction matches the passage's referent (Bailey, the FBI's second-ranking official) and the claim is graded as stated, with the title 'Deputy Director' matching how sources describe him as co-deputy director.True85% confidence6 sourcesSep 29, 2026Joe diGenova and Kurt Olson have left their positions investigating former administration officials.Multiple reliable sources confirm that Kurt Olsen resigned from the DOJ 'grand conspiracy' probe on September 28-29, 2026, and that Joseph diGenova, who led it, had departed weeks earlier. The probe targets former government officials, so the claim's description matches the sources; the post's 'Cardolson' and 'Joe to Geneva' are garbled names for the same two people.True85% confidence5 sourcesSep 29, 2026Clark Construction is performing work on property that Donald Trump does not own.Said by BMultiple sources show Clark Construction was performing construction work on the East Wing ballroom site at the White House, and a D.C. Circuit opinion states that each President is a temporary tenant, not the owner, of the White House, so the claim holds as of 2026-09-29. The post's separate allegation that the work is illegal is not part of the extracted claim and is not graded here.True75% confidence6 sourcesSep 29, 2026Donald Trump regilded the statues on the Memorial Bridge.Said by BMultiple sources report that the Arts of War statues on Arlington Memorial Bridge were regilded in 23.75-karat gold leaf under Trump's 'Make D.C. Safe and Beautiful Again' initiative, and Trump personally shared photos of the work on Truth Social. The sources attribute the project to his initiative and the Interior Department rather than describing him as personally gilding the statues, but the standard reading of 'Trump regilded the statues' holds.True75% confidence5 sourcesSep 29, 2026Donald Trump used funds from the Secret Service and national parks to build a ballroom.Said by BMultiple sources, including two Senate press releases, report that taxpayer funds were redirected from Secret Service accounts toward the White House ballroom, and one reports NPS records showing money rerouted for projects on White House grounds. The sources differ on amounts ($300M to $1.17B), but the core assertion holds, and the national parks element rests on less direct reporting.

Our Weekly Newsletter

The Readout

The week's most-shared posts, checked. What they claimed, how they argued, and what held up.

Unsubscribe any time. See our privacy policy.