Polygraph

Secretary Lutnick released a census report claiming it would identify thousands of non-citizen voters.

Posted by The Bulwark Daily, Checked

Polygraph verdictTrue
Sources
3 support4 context
Said
1 time·
Confidence
60%
The Bulwark DailySep 29, 2026
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Multiple sources show Commerce Secretary Lutnick announced the unsigned Census Bureau report claiming over 24,000 noncitizen voters in 2020, and predicted the next analysis would find tens of thousands more. The sources attribute posting to the Census Bureau rather than to Lutnick personally, a label difference that does not change the core claim.

What was said

… You saw these attempts come out after Trump's big election speech in July that was largely a flop because even networks like Fox would not cover it, and people like Maria Bartiromo are benched. You saw Secretary Lutnick, which I am being very careful to say correctly, had that big census report that he said was going to find thousands of non-citizen voters flop. Everyone could see through the fake statistics on that almost immediately. You then had Mark Wayne Mullen come out with another separate report more recently, where he was saying, Oh, we have 16,000 illegal voters, another flop. …
The Bulwark Daily · · from the transcriptPost →

What we found

Supports. Lutnick publicly promoted the report, writing on X that more than 32 million more voter records would be scrutinized and were 'likely to reveal tens of thousands more illegal voters.'[1][2]

Supports. Joyce Vance's post states that Lutnick announced a Department of Commerce 'report' claiming more than 24,000 noncitizens illegally voted in 2020.[3]

Context. The report was posted to the Census Bureau website, which sits under the Commerce Department, so 'released' is loosely accurate as an announcement but the Bureau technically published it.[4][5]

Context. Sources describe the report as unauthored and methodologically flawed, but that critique does not bear on whether Lutnick promoted a report predicting thousands of noncitizen voters.[6][7]

Sources

7 sources: 6 not rated, 1 tier 2

  1. 1Trump's Commerce Secretary under pressure to use his powers to block voting machinesus.cnn.com · not rated · cited for: supports
  2. 2Experts slam Trump's unusual new census report as a ' ...edition.cnn.com · not rated · cited for: supports
  3. 3They're Building The Excuse Now - Civil Discourse with Joyce Vancejoycevance.substack.com · not rated · cited for: supports
  4. 4Trump’s Commerce Secretary under pressure to use his powers to block voting machines | CNN Politicscnn.com · tier 2 · cited for: context
  5. 5CREW requests records on Census Bureau's report alleging ...citizensforethics.org · not rated · cited for: context
  6. 6Experts raise alarms over Census Bureau report Trump is ...ctpublic.org · not rated · cited for: context
  7. 7A US Census Report on Noncitizen Voting Used Bad Data to Reach Faulty Conclusionswired.com · not rated · cited for: context

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