Polygraph

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Power & Politics

CBC

On Power & Politics, host David Cochrane asks decision-makers the questions that matter – and gets answers. Every weekday, we feature hard-hitting interviews with politicians and leaders, check in with CBC’s top political journalists for updates on breaking stories, and take the time to analyze the latest developments with a cast of regular panelists and critical thinkers. Whether you’re getting caught up on Canadian politics daily or weekly, we’ve got an insider’s view of the continuously-unfolding drama.'

False60% confidence4 sourcesOct 21, 2026In April 2025, 45% of Albertans expressed an interest in separation.Said by AThe only 45% separation figure in the sources comes from a Kolosowski Strategies poll conducted May 6–15, 2025, after the April 28 election, with methodology the sources say they could not verify. Polls conducted in April 2025 (Léger, April 10–14) show about 29–30% for separation, so the claim that 45% of Albertans expressed separation interest in April 2025 is contradicted.Mixed50% confidence9 sourcesOct 21, 2026Canada is growing jobs at twice the rate of the United States.Said by 4BThe direction of the claim is supported: Canada's official Spring Economic Update 2026 reports per-capita job gains since early 2025 of 3.4 per 1,000 versus 1.2 per 1,000 in the U.S., which is nearly three times the U.S. rate, not twice. The 'twice' figure depends on the measure and window: Statistics Canada's fall update shows Canada's year-to-date employment was down over the first four months of 2026 before recovering, so the ratio does not hold on every measure. The claim was made on 2026-10-22, and the sources cover that period.Mixed55% confidence7 sourcesOct 21, 2026There have been eleven instances of illegal voting by Canadians in the United States over a twelve-year period.Said by 2EThe 11 figure is the US embassy's count of Canadians charged with illegal voting, and the sources report it accurately as the embassy's claim, but CBC counts at least 15 Canadians caught up in the crackdown, and the sources describe charges, not proven instances. The stated 2012 to 2024 span matches Yahoo's account, while AP gives 2012 to 2026.Mixed60% confidence4 sourcesOct 21, 2026The Alberta NDP constitution states that the Alberta wing is a section of the federal NDP and that federal policy applies in Alberta.Said by AThe Alberta NDP constitution's Article 1.02 states the party 'shall constitute a section of the New Democratic Party of Canada,' so the first element is supported. The second element is only loosely supported: Article 1.05 says the federal party constitution prevails in matters the Alberta constitution does not address, which is not the same as saying federal policy applies in Alberta, and a 2026 CTV interview with Alberta NDP leader Naheed Nenshi describes the party as having policy autonomy. The claim's 'federal policy' wording overstates the text.Mixed60% confidence6 sourcesOct 21, 2026NDP members become automatic members of the federal party.Said by ARead generally, the claim holds: the 2026 Ontario NDP constitution and the 2026 federal overview report show provincial NDP members are generally automatically federal members (exceptions: Quebec and Nunavut). Read as the speaker meant it, about Alberta NDP members, it is contradicted: the Alberta NDP voted in May 2025 to end automatic federal membership, so it was not true on 2026-10-21.Mixed85% confidence6 sourcesOct 21, 2026Newfoundland held two referendum votes on joining Canada in 1949.Said by 2ENewfoundland did hold two referendums on joining Canada (confederation), but both were held in 1948 (June 3 and July 22), not 1949; 1949 is when Newfoundland became a Canadian province (31 March 1949). The claim's core assertion is supported, while its date is contradicted.Minor detail. The sources confirm the claim; only a minor detail differs, such as a name's spelling, a title's wording or a rounding.Mixed55% confidence7 sourcesOct 21, 2026Donald Trump endorsed Benjamin Netanyahu and stated he will only continue fighting Iran if Netanyahu remains the leader of Israel.Said by BThe endorsement is well supported: Trump publicly endorsed Netanyahu on Oct 18, 2026, before the Oct 21 post. The conditional claim that Trump said he will only keep fighting Iran if Netanyahu stays leader is not supported as Trump's own words. Reuters attributes that 'only as long as Netanyahu remains in power' framing to Netanyahu's characterization, published Oct 26 after the post date, while Trump's Oct 18 remark was that America would have to do the work itself if Israel had the 'wrong Leader'.Mixed50% confidence3 sourcesOct 21, 2026U.S. auto exports are down over 25% globally.Said by 4GDirection is supported: multiple sources show U.S. auto exports falling in 2025–2026. But no source states a decline of over 25% globally. Forbes reports passenger vehicle exports down 21.90% in H1 2026 versus 2024, and the USMCA report's figures imply roughly a 14% drop in total exports in 2025 versus 2024 (USMCA exports fell about 24% in absolute terms, but its share of world exports also shrank, which implies a smaller global decline). The claimed figure falls outside these estimates, and the posted figure was a claim by a speaker, not a source.True95% confidence6 sourcesOct 21, 2026Midterm elections in the United States are scheduled for November 2026.Said by 4EMultiple reliable sources, including Reuters (2026-10-19) and USAGov (2026-10-07), confirm the 2026 U.S. midterm elections are set for November 3, 2026, which matches the claim's 'November 2026' as of the 2026-10-21 post date. The post's 'next month' phrasing is consistent with this date, so the extraction is faithful.True97% confidence8 sourcesOct 21, 2026Ryan Wedding was an Olympic snowboarder in 2002.Said by AMultiple tier1 and primary sources confirm Ryan Wedding competed for Canada in snowboarding at the 2002 Winter Olympics in Salt Lake City, finishing 24th in parallel giant slalom. The passage's misspelling 'Ryan Wetting' is resolved by the same post's reference to 'Ryan James Wedding', so the extraction correctly names Wedding.True90% confidence6 sourcesOct 21, 2026The Trump administration is accusing Canada of election interference.Said by BMultiple tier1 sources (BBC, Reuters, AP) report that the US Embassy in Ottawa, representing the Trump administration, issued a fact sheet on October 21, 2026 accusing Canadian ministers and premiers of election interference ahead of the US midterms. The claim matches the post's wording and the posted day; the accusation was made as of 2026-10-21 and Canadian leaders dismissed it, which does not change that the accusation was made.Reported in the post, not stated as its own.True80% confidence4 sourcesOct 21, 2026The United Conservative Party convention is scheduled for November 28th.Said by BThe UCP convention (AGM) is scheduled for Nov. 27–29, 2026 in Calgary per the party's official events page and CTV, and CBC describes it as held Nov. 27 and 28, so November 28 is a scheduled convention date. The sources differ only on whether it ends on the 28th or the 29th, which does not affect the claim. The posting date of Oct. 21 precedes the sources, but nothing suggests the schedule had changed by then.Raised in the post as a question.

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