Polygraph

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Deadline: White House

Nicolle Wallace, MS NOW

Drawing on years of experience as communications chief for President George W. Bush and senior advisor for the McCain-Palin campaign, Nicolle Wallace provides political insight and clarity on where the decision-makers stand on complex issues. Join her for analysis and discussion with the key newsmakers every weekday.

Mixed45% confidence3 sourcesOct 28, 2026In Georgia, ballots cast by Black voters are up 15% while ballots from white voters are down 3% compared to the previous midterm cycle.Said by BThe claim's direction for Black voters is supported: Georgia's early electorate shows Black voters rising to 32.4% of ballots from 30.2% in 2022. The sources do not report the 15% and -3% ballot-count changes, and their raw totals (2,826,146 early votes in 2026 vs 2,511,966 in 2022, with white voters at 1,484,965 in 2026) imply white ballot counts roughly flat to slightly up, not down 3%. The white share fell from 58.2% to 52.5%, so the 'down' appears to reflect share rather than count. The claim is quoted from Bloomberg and repeated by Charlie Sykes, so it is not independently corroborated. The 'as of 2026-10-28' snapshot is also a moving target, as the totals rose through Nov 1.Reported in the post, not stated as its own.Mixed60% confidence6 sourcesOct 28, 2026Brad Raffensperger passed a voter suppression law in Georgia.Said by BSources show Georgia's 2021 SB 202 was approved by Republican legislators and signed by Gov. Brian Kemp, not passed by Raffensperger, who is Secretary of State. They also show he publicly supported and defended the law, so he backed it but did not pass it; the 'voter suppression' label is critics' characterization, not a finding.Mixed65% confidence6 sourcesOct 28, 2026Louisiana redistricted the second and sixth districts to eliminate majority Black seats.Said by ASources support that Louisiana's 2026 congressional map eliminated one majority-Black district, the 6th (Cleo Fields' Baton Rouge-to-Shreveport seat), but they show the 2nd District remained majority-Black, so the claim that both the 2nd and 6th were redistricted to eliminate majority-Black seats is only partly right. The 2nd was redrawn but not eliminated.Mixed60% confidence5 sourcesOct 28, 2026Jon Ossoff lost his 2017 special election campaign for Congress in the North Atlanta suburbs by a couple of points.Said by 2DOssoff did lose the June 2017 runoff in Georgia's 6th District, a North Atlanta suburban seat, so the core fact holds. However, the margin was about 4 points (51.9% to 48.1%), roughly double the 'couple of points' the claim states, so the magnitude is overstated relative to the record.Mixed60% confidence6 sourcesOct 28, 2026Federal corruption and conflict of interest laws do not apply to the president.Said by 3CThe sources strongly support that the federal conflict-of-interest statute (18 U.S.C. § 208) and its definitions exclude the President, so that part of the claim holds. The broader wording 'corruption ... laws do not apply' is contradicted by sources stating that bribery law (18 U.S.C. § 201) and the STOCK Act still apply to the President. The passage itself says 'corruption and conflict of interest laws that regulate many government officials,' which the extraction dropped, and on that narrower reading the claim is largely supported.Mixed60% confidence8 sourcesOct 22, 2026Every state except Louisiana has a paper trail record of the votes cast in elections.Said by BAt the statewide level the claim holds: Louisiana is the only state whose machines lack a voter-verified paper trail (PolitiFact, LegalClarity, Himes, Becker). At the jurisdiction level it does not hold literally, since EAVS 2024 data cited by one source shows 80 jurisdictions in three states without a verified paper trail, so the answer depends on whether the measure is statewide or jurisdictional. The claim was made 2026-10-22, and the sources describe the situation as of their publication dates, which is consistent with that date.Mixed50% confidence6 sourcesOct 22, 2026As of July 2026, the Department of Homeland Security targeted at least 148 nonprofits and churches conducting voter engagement.Said by AThe district court's October 21 order, as quoted in the court filings, states that as of July 2026 DHS had targeted at least 148 such organizations, matching the claim's figure and its scope of nonprofits and churches doing voter engagement. However, the Ninth Circuit opinion of October 30 states the figure as at least 165 for the same July 2026 date, so the sources conflict on the number. The extraction is faithful to the post, which quotes the 148 figure.Reported in the post, not stated as its own.Mixed60% confidence5 sourcesOct 22, 2026The Department of Defense has a $1 trillion budget.Said by 3CThe claim that the Department of Defense has a $1 trillion budget is broadly supported as a topline framing: the White House says the 2026 defense topline was historic $1 trillion, and ProPublica says Congress appropriated $1 trillion for defense this year. However, the sources give different measures: CBO's DoD base request was $961 billion, CRS reports $839.2 billion in discretionary appropriations for DoD activities, and the 2026 request with reconciliation was about $1.01 trillion, so the figure depends on the measure used. The post's 'Department of Defense' reference and the date of 2026-10-22 are consistent with the passage, and the claim is graded against the sources as of that date.Reported in the post, not stated as its own.Mixed70% confidence7 sourcesOct 22, 2026Pete Hegseth's staff relocated a floor globe used by General Dwight Eisenhower during World War II.Said by ASources support that Hegseth's staff attempted to move a WWII-era Eisenhower floor globe to his office without curators and dropped it, but they contradict the word 'relocated': The Hill and the Kansas City Star both report the globe was ultimately not relocated. The post also describes it as a 'floor globe', while the Pentagon statement calls it a replica, a detail the sources do not resolve.Reported in the post, not stated as its own.Mixed70% confidence6 sourcesOct 20, 2026CISA was established by George W. Bush and Donald Trump.Said by DTrump is supported as the establishing figure: CISA was created by the Cybersecurity and Infrastructure Security Agency Act of 2018, which he signed on November 16, 2018. Bush's role is overstated, since the sources show only that its predecessor, NPPD, was formed within DHS in 2007 under his administration, not that he established CISA. The claim matches the passage's wording, so no extraction departure applies.Mixed60% confidence4 sourcesOct 20, 2026The Trump administration terminated a contract with a research contractor in Puerto Rico after the contractor failed to find evidence of 2020 election rigging.Said by DMultiple reports (ProPublica, CNN, Reuters, GovExec) say the administration stopped renewing or shut down the Puerto Rico contract with Mojave Research after the firm found no evidence supporting 2020 fraud claims. However, an ODNI spokesperson told reporters the work ceased because Mojave had completed its contract, so the causal link is disputed by an official source. The claim's core sequence is supported, but its stated reason is contested.Reported in the post, not stated as its own.Mixed60% confidence6 sourcesOct 20, 2026John Solomon stated that no votes were flipped in the 2020, 2024, or 2022 elections.Solomon did tell MS NOW's Vaughn Hillyard that the intelligence community has "zero evidence" that a foreign power flipped a vote in 2020, '22 or '24, so that part is supported. But the claim drops the qualifiers he used: he said "foreign power," that he was "still researching," and that "we're not through all the documents," so he did not flatly state that no votes were flipped.

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