Polygraph

Iran has an inflation rate of at least 80 percent.

Posted by The Rob Carson Show, Checked

Polygraph verdictMixed
Sources
3 contradict5 support1 context
Said
1 time·
Confidence
60%
The Rob Carson ShowSep 7, 2026
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43 claimsThe check →

As of 2026-09-07, the year-on-year headline rate was in the high 80s (June 88.6%, July 87.9%, and the Statistical Center reported roughly 89-90% for September), so the claim holds on that measure. Under the 12-month average measure, the rate was 73.6% for September and 76.8% for October, below 80%, so the figure depends on which measure is used.

This claim is about the present, so it is judged as of the day it was checked.

What was said

… My belief is that if we, if we keep going down this path, in 30 to 60 days, we will see a different Iran. The Iranian currency hit 2 million rials to the dollar today, which is just extraordinarily bad. They have at least 80 inflation. I think it's higher than that. Yeah, all right, let's take a break and come back. I've got much more I want to discuss with you, including Canada, including Lake Ontario. Now, Lake America might have to hyphenate it. …
The Rob Carson Show · · from the transcriptPost →

What we found

Contradicts. Reuters and Patrika report annual inflation of 73.6% for September, and the 12-month average reached 76.8% in October, both below 80% under that measure.[1][2][3]

Supports. Tradingeconomics, citing the Statistical Center of Iran, reports year-on-year inflation of 88.6% in June 2026 and 87.9% in July 2026, both above 80%.[4]

Supports. Iran International and IranWire report point-to-point year-on-year inflation of 88.7% for October 2026, and NIAC notes the previous month's year-on-year rate was 89.8%, so the headline rate was near 90% around the claim date.[5][6][7]

Supports. The Soufan Center, published 2026-09-03, says the official inflation rate was estimated by economists at over 80 percent, close to the claim date.[8]

Context. The Treasury Department put headline inflation at 90% in September, while Iran's official data had headline inflation around 70% before the conflict began in February 2026.[9]

Sources

9 sources: 1 fact-checker, 8 not rated

  1. 1Iranians cut essentials and put dreams on hold as war-hit economy bitesreuters.com · fact-checker · cited for: contradicts
  2. 2Iran Inflation: Food Prices Up 122% in a Year Amid War; Economy Minister Apologises to Publicpatrika.com · not rated · cited for: contradicts
  3. 3Iran's annual inflation hits 76.8% over 12 months Iran's ...en.ammonnews.net · not rated · cited for: contradicts
  4. 4Iran Inflation Ratetradingeconomics.com · not rated · cited for: supports
  5. 5Iran’s year-on-year inflation reaches 88.7% in the month to ...iranintl.com · not rated · cited for: supports
  6. 6Iran’s Point-to-Point Inflation Reaches 88.7% in Octoberiranwire.com · not rated · cited for: supports
  7. 7Iran’s Prices Nearly Double as Pensioners Wait for Money Owed Since Springinsights.niacouncil.org · not rated · cited for: supports
  8. 8Iran Responds to 'Operation Economic Outcast'thesoufancenter.org · not rated · cited for: supports
  9. 9Treasury Department says Iran's economy cratering, ...yahoo.com · not rated · cited for: context

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