Polygraph

Gas prices are up 52% since the war with Iran started.

Posted by The MeidasTouch Podcast, Checked

Polygraph verdictMixed
Sources
4 contradict3 context
Said
1 time·
Confidence
60%
The MeidasTouch PodcastSep 15, 2026
View on Podcast ↗
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80 claimsThe check →

The rise in gas prices is well supported, but the 52% figure matches only the May 2026 peak (CBS: $4.54, up 52% from $2.98). As of mid-September, AAA-based reporting put the increase at roughly 44-45% ($4.29 vs. about $2.98 pre-war), so the 52% magnitude does not hold on the claim's 2026-09-15 date.

A detail. The sources confirm the gist; the verdict faults a detail such as a date, number or wording.

This claim is about the present, so it is judged as of the day it was checked.

What was said

… I don't recall. I'll jog your memory: four to five weeks. It's been six months, so he lied, and we're all paying the cost. Since the war started, gas prices are up 52%. Yes or no, are you aware of that? Gas prices are up 52% since the war started. Are you aware of this issue? Yes or no? I think that's not a good idea. Okay, I'm gonna take that as a yes. You're playing like you don't know, but you know. Okay, Secretary Bessen. Claiming my time. …
The MeidasTouch Podcast · · from the transcriptPost →

What we found

Contradicts. The 52% increase is documented only at the May 6, 2026 peak ($4.54, up $1.56 or 52% since the war began). It is not the figure for mid-September.[2]

Contradicts. Around the claim's date, reporting put the increase at about 44-45% (e.g., $4.29 in September, and 45% above pre-war levels in an October AAA update), which is below the 52% stated.[1][3][4]

Supports. Multiple sources confirm gas prices rose sharply after the Iran war began in late February 2026, with the national average reaching $4.29 in September against a pre-war level near $2.98.[1][4]

Context. Different baselines and dates produce different percentages (e.g., 40% in WSAW's October report, 43% in WMUR's October report, 50% in NBC's June analysis), so the figure depends on the measure and date used.[5][6][7]

Context. The claim's own post asserts this as a present-tense figure on 2026-09-15; the extraction matches the post's wording and no referent was added.

Sources

7 sources: 1 fact-checker, 2 tier 2, 4 not rated

  1. 1Trump on gas prices and energy costs since launching the ...apnews.com · fact-checker · cited for: contradicts, supports
  2. 2Gas prices top $4.50 a gallon, reaching highest level since ...cbsnews.com · tier 2 · cited for: contradicts
  3. 3Retail price impacts from the Iran war are uneven but add ...bostonherald.com · not rated · cited for: contradicts
  4. 4Inflation holds steady at elevated level as Iran war pushes ...abcnews.com · not rated · cited for: contradicts, supports
  5. 5Gas price calculator: How much more have you paid ...nbcnews.com · tier 2 · cited for: context
  6. 6Trump says Iran war goal met as gas prices rise - WSAWwsaw.com · not rated · cited for: context
  7. 720 states have seen gas prices increase more than 50% in 2026 ...wmur.com · not rated · cited for: context

Where this claim was made

Said in 1 published post

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