Polygraph

Donald Trump and Mike Johnson claim that polling for the November 3 election is incorrect.

Posted by The Kuhner Report, Checked

Polygraph verdictTrue
Sources
5 support3 context
Said
1 time·
Confidence
72%
The Kuhner ReportOct 26, 2026
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40 claimsThe check →

Johnson's public statements that the polls are wrong are documented by AP and Reuters before the 2026-10-26 post date, and a New York Times-Siena-based report says Trump and Johnson both disputed the polls. Trump's own rejection of polling rests mainly on unrated secondhand reports, so that half of the claim is less directly sourced.

This claim is about the present, so it is judged as of the day it was checked.

What was said

… Russ, I want to play a cut, and I want to get your take. Now, what I'm asking is not, should the Republicans win, because I know you, like me, believe they should win, but Trump is saying something different. Trump, and along with Speaker Mike Johnson, I could play you all the cuts, but I don't want to waste your time, they're saying that the polling is off. They're insisting that the polling is off, that there's going to be no blue wave on November 3, that the Republicans are going to hold the House, and they're going to hold the Senate, and they're gonna defy history and historical precedent. …
The Kuhner Report · · from the transcriptPost →

What we found

Supports. AP reported on Oct 14 that Speaker Mike Johnson disagreed with the polling showing Republicans heading toward defeat on Nov. 3.[1]

Supports. Reuters reported Johnson's Oct. 25 Fox News remarks that polls showing Democratic leads were 'wrong' and 'off, all of them.'[2]

Supports. A final-polls report states that Trump and Johnson, who campaigned together in Iowa, disputed that the polls were so lopsided.[3]

Supports. Secondary reports say Trump has railed against midterm polling as 'fake', and that Johnson and Thune echoed his skepticism.[4][5]

Context. Several statements (Johnson's Oct. 27 Fox interview and Iowa rally remarks) postdate the 2026-10-26 post, but they show the same position was already held when the post was made.[6][7][8]

Sources

8 sources: 1 fact-checker, 6 not rated, 1 tier 2

  1. 1Speaker Johnson dismisses skeptics as he campaigns for ...apnews.com · fact-checker · cited for: supports
  2. 2Mike Johnson calls polls showing large Democratic leads 'wrong'rmb.reuters.com · not rated · cited for: supports
  3. 3Democrats lead Republicans in 5 of 7 Senate battlegrounds, new ...fresnobee.com · not rated · cited for: supports
  4. 4Thune and Johnson echo Trump's attacks on midterm pollsknewz.com · not rated · cited for: supports
  5. 5Johnson and Thune adopt Trump's messaging on 'fake' pollingwashingtonexaminer.com · not rated · cited for: supports
  6. 6Republicans Aren't Sweating the Polls. They Don't Trust Them, Anyway.huffpost.com · tier 2 · cited for: context
  7. 7Trump urges Stevens to switch parties after Rogers endorsement: Election updatesusatoday.com · not rated · cited for: context
  8. 8Trump rants about 'loving meat' and claims solar power fries animals ...newswav.com · not rated · cited for: context

Where this claim was made

Said in 1 published post

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