Polygraph

Support for the GOP from rural voters is down 14 points and support from Latinos is down 12 points.

Posted by The Fox News Rundown, Checked

Polygraph verdictMixed
Sources
4 support5 context
Said
1 time·
Confidence
55%
The Fox News RundownOct 23, 2026
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37 claimsThe check →

The rural figure (63% to 49%, down 14 points) and the Latino figure (43% to 31%, down 12 points) match a Fox News poll as reported in the sources, and nothing contradicts them.

A detail. The sources confirm the gist; the verdict faults a detail such as a date, number or wording.

This claim is about the present, so it is judged as of the day it was checked.

What was said

… Also, this extremely interested in election in, from that same poll: Democrats, 69%; Republicans, 61%. So does that enthusiasm or interest advantage benefit Democrats, meaning they actually show up and vote? We also got more power rankings this week. Support of the GOP from rural voters down 14 points, and support from Latinos is down, I think, 12 points. Latinos, that was a bonus, right, in '24 for the GOP. Losing rural voters that much, I mean, that's sort of, in part, the GOP's bread and butter. …
The Fox News Rundown · · from the transcriptPost →

What we found

Supports. An Alternet article on the Fox News Power Rankings reports that less than half of rural voters plan to vote GOP, down from nearly two-thirds who voted for Trump in 2024, consistent with the 14-point rural drop.[3]

Supports. Mediaite and Yahoo report the same Fox News poll figures for rural voters (63% to 49%, a 14-point drop) and Hispanic voters (43% to 31%, a 12-point drop), but these articles largely repeat the anchor's statement and are not independent confirmation.[4][5][6]

Context. Other polls show a larger Latino decline: a 2026 article cites a nearly 20-point decline in Latino support since 2024, and an NBC/Telemundo poll shows a 12-point swing in the Democratic margin among Latinos. Equis reports a 10-point drop among Latino Trump 2024 voters over a year.[7][8][9]

Context. A Hobby School survey finds 40% or more of Hispanic voters still support GOP candidates, and an AP-KFF poll finds rural voters' economic concerns but does not measure the same GOP-support change.[1][2]

Sources

9 sources: 1 fact-checker, 1 primary, 6 not rated, 1 rated low

  1. 1Takeaways from a new AP-KFF poll of rural American votersapnews.com · fact-checker · cited for: context
  2. 2Hobby School Survey: Talarico Holds Narrow Lead Over Paxton ...uh.edu · primary source · cited for: context
  3. 3Fox News exposes alarming collapse in Trump’s rural strongholdsalternet.org · not rated · cited for: supports
  4. 4Lara Trump Says MAGA Voters Aren’t ‘Answering Pollsters’ When Confronted With Bad Numbers on Fox Newsmediaite.com · not rated · cited for: supports
  5. 5Lara Trump Desperately Spins President's Polling ...sg.news.yahoo.com · not rated · cited for: supports
  6. 6Lara Trump Desperately Spins President's Polling Numbers On Fox Newsng.headtopics.com · rated low for factual reporting by Iffy.news · cited for: supports
  7. 7Latino voters disapprove of Trump's presidency: Will that decide the midterms?economichardship.org · not rated · cited for: context
  8. 8Trump, GOP support among Latino voters drops before midterms ...usatoday.com · not rated · cited for: context
  9. 9Memo: October 2026 National Poll | Equis Researchweareequis.us · not rated · cited for: context

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