Simon Rosenberg tracks early voting data at his Hopium Chronicles Substack.
Posted by The DSR Network, Checked
- Sources
- 2 support
- Said
- 1 time·
- Confidence
- 80%
The DSR NetworkOct 27, 2026
… Another acknowledged that the electorate looks far too nonwhite for the GOP and urged Republicans to “step it up.” A third fretted that Trump’s campaigning is backfiring. We talked to Democratic strategist Simon Rosenberg, who closely tracks early voting at his Hopium Chronicles Substack. He walks us through the massively encouraging signs in the data for Democrats, details what we can conclude from it and what we can’t, talks about why the Senate could still stay Republican, and ponders how Democrats should close this out. …
Simon Rosenberg's Hopium Chronicles Substack published an early-vote analysis on 2026-10-23, and the New Republic article of 2026-10-27 describes him as closely tracking early voting through that Substack. The claim matches the passage faithfully and is supported as of 2026-10-27.
This claim is about the present, so it is judged as of the day it was checked.
What we found
Supports. Rosenberg's own Hopium Chronicles Substack post 'Some Encouraging News From The Early Vote' (published 2026-10-23) analyzes early-vote data, showing he tracks it on that platform.[1]
Supports. The New Republic article published 2026-10-27 states that Rosenberg 'closely tracks early voting at his Hopium Chronicles Substack' and discusses his early-vote analysis.[2]
Context. The claim is a faithful extraction of the passage, which attributes the same statement to The Daily Blast post; no referent or scope was added. The New Republic source largely echoes the post's wording, so the independent evidence rests mainly on the Substack post itself.[1][2]
Sources
2 sources: 2 not rated
- 1Some Encouraging News From The Early Vote - Substackhopiumchronicles.com · not rated · cited for: supports, context
- 2Angry Trump Unravels as Brutal New Early Voting Data Rattles Even ...newrepublic.com · not rated · cited for: supports, context
Where this claim was made
Said in 1 published post
Related claims
- Democratic early voting is surging.True
- Hispanic voter participation in early voting is 41% higher than at this point in 2022.Mixed
- The national total of early and mail-in ballots is 29.9 million compared to 15 million at a similar point in 2022.Mixed
- In Senate battleground states, registered Democrats make up 47% of early voters and registered Republicans make up 35%.Mixed
- Virginia early voting is up 80% from four years ago.True