The violent crime rate is the lowest it has been in modern American history.
Posted by The Dan Bongino Show, Checked
- Sources
- 1 contradict3 support2 context
- Said
- 1 time·
- Confidence
- 70%
The Dan Bongino ShowOct 16, 2026
The claim that the violent crime rate is the lowest in modern American history is contradicted by the BBC's analysis of FBI data, which says the 2024 rate was the lowest since 1969 and that the 2025 rate is predicted to be the lowest since roughly 1968, implying earlier rates were at least as low.
What was said
… I'll take what I can get. Michael DOUGLAS, like, "Ah, I'm really concerned about, you know, illegal people having illegal gun." Well, we're concerned about people committing crime with guns, too. That's why the violent crime rate is the lowest it's been in modern American history. You're in the state of Florida or running elsewhere, you have one choice here. There is a chameleon running for governor in Florida. Damn, why are we talking about Florida? …
The Dan Bongino Show · · from the transcriptPost →What we found
Contradicts. The BBC reports the 2024 violent crime rate of 348.6 per 100,000 was the lowest since 1969, and Jeff Asher predicts 2025 will be the lowest since roughly 1968, which implies rates before that were comparable or lower.[4]
Supports. The FBI's 2025 data shows a 9.7% drop in the violent crime rate to 327.6 per 100,000, the largest annual decline since national estimates began in 1936, and Axios calls it the series low for 2006–2025.[2][5][6]
Context. FactCheck.org says the 2025 drop is real but criminologists cite many possible causes, and that falling violent crime began before Trump's current term; it also notes the drop is a trend rather than a unique historical turnaround.[1]
Context. The White House release calls violent crime collapse 'unmatched in modern American history', but this is a government characterization of the trend and not an independent measurement of an all-time low.[3]
Sources
6 sources: 1 fact-checker, 2 primary, 1 tier 1, 2 not rated
- 1FactChecking Day Two of the GOP Midterm Conventionfactcheck.org · fact-checker · cited for: context
- 2Op-Ed: Violent Crime Down Across U.S., FBI Pivots to ...fbi.gov · primary source · cited for: supports
- 3Crime Plummets to Another Historic Low Under President ...whitehouse.gov · primary source · cited for: context
- 4Is US crime at a historic low?bbc.com · tier 1 · cited for: contradicts
- 5FBI: 2025 had biggest violent-crime drop in 90 years - Axiosaxios.com · not rated · cited for: supports
- 6Is crime in the US going up or down?usafacts.org · not rated · cited for: supports
Where this claim was made
Said in 1 published post
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