Overall crime in Memphis is at a 25-year low, down 34% from last year.
Posted by The Dan Bongino Show, Checked
- Sources
- 2 contradict2 support4 context
- Said
- 1 time·
- Confidence
- 55%
The Dan Bongino ShowOct 19, 2026
The 25-year-low part of the claim is supported by several sources, but the 34% figure depends on which measure is used: the Washington Examiner reports Blanche citing 34%, the White House cites about 36%, city data cited by FactCheck.org shows about 39%, and Crime Commission data cited by TBA shows 21.2% through September.
What was said
… The task force is arresting someone wanted on a murder charge every two and a half days. So, during a work week, two guys being arrested on murder charge. Overall crime is at a 25-year low, down 34% from last year. You talk about the statistics, and sometimes they go in one year and out the other, but it makes a difference in our community when you talk about murders being down 33%, sexual assaults down 25%, motor vehicle thefts are down 54%, robberies are down 40%, …
The Dan Bongino Show · · from the transcriptPost →What we found
Contradicts. Crime Commission data reported by TBA (Oct 23, 2026) puts overall crime down 21.2% through September compared with the same period in 2025, and USA Today (July 2026) reports a 23.8% drop in the first half of the year, both below the claimed 34%.[4][5]
Supports. The Washington Examiner (Oct 16, 2026) reports Blanche saying crime in Memphis has dropped to a 25-year low and that overall crime is down 34% compared to last year.[6]
Supports. The White House release (Sept 15, 2026) says overall crime is down nearly 36% from last year and that the city is on pace for a 25-year low.[3]
Context. FactCheck.org (Aug 2026) cites city data showing total crime down nearly 39% from Oct 1 to Aug 18 compared with the same period the year before, so the 34% figure falls within the range of competing measures.[1]
Context. AP (Sept 2025) reported that overall crime hit a 25-year low across the first eight months of 2025, and the 2026 Commercial Appeal and Daily Memphian coverage describe continued declines to new lows.[2][7][8]
Sources
8 sources: 2 fact-checkers, 1 primary, 5 not rated
- 1Trump's Misleading Crime Drop Claimsfactcheck.org · fact-checker · cited for: context
- 2What to know about the National Guard coming to Memphis - AP Newsapnews.com · fact-checker · cited for: context
- 3President Trump Promised to Make Memphis Safe Again. ...whitehouse.gov · primary source · cited for: supports
- 4Report: Memphis Crime Drops 21% Through Septembertba.org · not rated · cited for: contradicts
- 5Memphis crime on pace for 25-year low once moreusatoday.com · not rated · cited for: contradicts
- 6Blanche hopes to replicate success of Memphis crime task ...washingtonexaminer.com · not rated · cited for: supports
- 7Memphis crime continues to decline to new lows, new data ...commercialappeal.com · not rated · cited for: context
- 8Crime - Memphis Local, Sports, Business & Food Newsdailymemphian.com · not rated · cited for: context
Where this claim was made
Said in 1 published post
Related claims
- Murders in Memphis are down 33%, sexual assaults down 25%, motor vehicle thefts down 54%, robberies down 40%, and aggravated assaults down 24%.Mixed
- Murders have dropped to the lowest rate in 90 years.Mixed
- The violent crime rate is at its lowest level in 126 years.Mixed
- Serious violent crime fell 25% nationwide in 2025.Mixed
- Crime rates have reached all-time lows in blue cities.True