Polygraph

USAID funding for Brazil was 11 million dollars in 2018, 36 million in 2019, 48 million in 2020, and 19 million in the year Bolsonaro was defeated.

Posted by Louder with Crowder, Checked

Polygraph verdictFalse
Sources
1 contradict3 context
Said
1 time·
Confidence
70%
Louder with CrowderOct 5, 2026
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The claim's central figures are contradicted by the primary State Department/USAID table, which shows Brazil at about $11.4M in FY2018, $11.6M in FY2019, and $20.1M in FY2020, not $36M and $48M, so the claimed tripling and quadrupling do not hold.

What was said

… So, if you actually look at USAID, uh, before this, leading up to Bolsonaro's presidency, and there's always, like, kind of a fuse of delayed reaction: 2018, there was about 11 million dollars coming in from USAID; 2019, 36 million; 2020, 48 million; and then the year, ah, that he was defeated in the election, it went down to, or after that, 19 million. So, there was a lead up, a lead up. And, to be clear, a lot of people have correlated the spending of Us aid with supporting Marxist revolutionaries, right? Opposition party. …
Louder with Crowder · · from the transcriptPost →

What we found

Contradicts. The CRS table of State- and USAID-managed assistance to Brazil lists about $11.4M for FY2018, $11.6M for FY2019, and $20.1M for FY2020, contradicting the claimed $36M for 2019 and $48M for 2020.[1]

Contradicts. The CRS table is a State- and USAID-combined measure, so USAID-only figures would be lower still, which further undercuts the claimed $36M and $48M totals.[1]

Supports. The same CRS table shows about $19.5M for FY2021 and a $17.8M FY2022 request, roughly consistent with the claimed $19M for the year Bolsonaro was defeated (2022), and about $11.4M for FY2018, matching the claimed 2018 figure.[1]

Context. A Folha fact-check found that the broader allegation that USAID funded Lula's victory over Bolsonaro was made without evidence, and the Hudson Institute notes that Brazil-specific USAID spending on democracy, elections, or media is not shown in USAID records from 2015 to 2025.[3][4]

Context. The $36 million figure that appears in the sources is a 2022 grant notice's estimated total program funding, not an annual Brazil spending total for 2019.[2]

Sources

4 sources: 2 primary, 2 not rated

  1. 1U.S. Foreign Assistance to Latin America and the Caribbean: FY2022 Appropriationscongress.gov · primary source · cited for: contradicts, supports
  2. 2View Grant Opportunitygrants.gov · primary source · cited for: context
  3. 3Bolsonarists and Trumpists Fabricate Scandal - 17/02/2025www1.folha.uol.com.br · not rated · cited for: context
  4. 4Who's Afraid of USAID? | Hudson Institutehudson.org · not rated · cited for: context

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