Polygraph

Flavio Bolsonaro lost to Lula da Silva in the Brazilian presidential runoff election.

Posted by Raging Moderates with Scott Galloway and Jessica Tarlov, Checked

Polygraph verdictTrue
Sources
5 support1 context
Said
2 times·
Confidence
95%
Your World TonightOct 28, 2026
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31 claimsThe check →

Multiple tier1 and tier2 sources (Reuters results, AP, BBC, NPR) report that Lula defeated Flávio Bolsonaro in the October 25, 2026 presidential runoff, with Lula at about 51.8% to 48.2%. Bolsonaro refused to concede, but the claim's core assertion that he lost is consistently supported and the post's wording matches the claim.

What was said

… Jonathan Mopetze, CBC News, Barrie County, Michigan. Defeated Brazilian presidential candidate Flavio Bolsonaro is now on US soil. In a statement, he's calling himself the leader of Brazil and says he will govern the country from Miami. The right-wing senator lost to incumbent Lula da Silva in Sunday's runoff election. He refused to concede and fled to Miami with his family after the White House granted them visas. Brazil's Supreme Court has accused Bolsonaro of corruption, money laundering and tax evasion. …
Your World Tonight · · from the transcriptPost →

What we found

Supports. Reuters live results show Lula at 51.8% and Flávio Bolsonaro at 48.2% with 100% of sections counted, and Lula passing the 50% threshold to win outright.[1]

Supports. AP reports Lula was reelected Sunday in the runoff, and BBC reports Bolsonaro was defeated by Lula in the runoff election.[2][3]

Supports. NPR reports the Liberal Party, Bolsonaro's party, recognized Lula's victory, though Bolsonaro himself has not conceded; the NYT also reports Lula won 51.8% to 48.2%.[4][5]

Context. Bolsonaro refused to concede and said he would seek to annul the result, but this does not change the fact that he lost the runoff.[6]

Sources

6 sources: 2 fact-checkers, 1 tier 1, 2 tier 2, 1 not rated

  1. 1Brazil runoff election resultsreuters.com · fact-checker · cited for: supports
  2. 2Lula’s win in Brazil bucks a regional shift to the right and denies Trump a powerful allyapnews.com · fact-checker · cited for: supports
  3. 3Brazilian authorities question whereabouts of Flávio Bolsonaro after he fails to surrender passportsbbc.com · tier 1 · cited for: supports
  4. 4Bolsonaro's party accepts Brazil election defeat, but he ...npr.org · tier 2 · cited for: supports
  5. 5What to know about Brazil's election and Flávio Bolsonaro's departurenytimes.com · tier 2 · cited for: supports
  6. 6Flávio rejects defeat after Lula wins historic presidential runoffvalorinternational.globo.com · not rated · cited for: context

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Said in 2 published posts

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