Polygraph

Sukil Peterson lost to Dave Updegrove by 51 votes in the August 2024 Washington Commissioner of Public Lands primary election.

Posted by unDivided with Brandi Kruse, Checked

Polygraph verdictMixed
Sources
4 contradict2 support1 context
Said
1 time·
Confidence
60%
unDivided with Brandi KruseOct 27, 2026
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The 51-vote margin between Dave Upthegrove and the third-place Republican in the August 6, 2024 Washington Commissioner of Public Lands primary is confirmed by the Secretary of State, but that Republican was Sue Kuehl Pederson, not Sukil Peterson, so the claim's name is contradicted by the sources.

What was said

… And here again is why that matters. Go back to the August 2024 primary election. This is the one of the most recent large scale examples of this. We would have a Republican Commissioner of Public Lands today if, if, if not for 51 votes. Sukil Peterson lost in the primary to Dave Updegrove by 51 votes, and that was the difference between sending Dave and Jamie forward to the general election, Jamie Harrer Butler, or sending Sukil Peterson and Jamie Harrer Butler, both Republicans, forward to the November election. So I want the list that the DOJ has. …
unDivided with Brandi Kruse · · from the transcriptPost →

What we found

Contradicts. The Republican who lost to Upthegrove by 51 votes is identified in every source as Sue Kuehl Pederson, not Sukil Peterson; no source mentions anyone named Sukil Peterson in this race.[1][3][4][5]

Supports. The Washington Secretary of State states the August 6, 2024 primary difference between Dave Upthegrove (396,300) and Sue Kuehl Pederson (396,249) was 51 votes, triggering a mandatory manual recount.[1][2]

Supports. Multiple news outlets reported at the time that Upthegrove led the second-place spot over the Republican by 51 votes, with a recount to follow.[3][4][5][6]

Context. Wikipedia reports that after the hand recount and certification, Upthegrove's margin was 49 votes, so the 51-vote figure describes the initial count rather than the final certified margin.[7]

Sources

7 sources: 2 primary, 5 not rated

  1. 12024 Primary Election - Washington Secretary of State - WA.govsos.wa.gov · primary source · cited for: contradicts, supports
  2. 2August 6, 2024 Primary Results - Commissioner of Public Lands ...results.vote.wa.gov · primary source · cited for: supports
  3. 3Just 51 votes separate these two WA candidates. Nextseattletimes.com · not rated · cited for: contradicts, supports
  4. 4Upthegrove will advance to November election for ...king5.com · not rated · cited for: contradicts, supports
  5. 5Washington certifies primary election results, recount ...nwpb.org · not rated · cited for: contradicts, supports
  6. 6Washington lands commissioner race heads toward recountwashingtonstatestandard.com · not rated · cited for: supports
  7. 72024 Washington Public Lands Commissioner election - Wikipediaen.wikipedia.org · not rated · cited for: context

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