Polygraph

The national early mail-in vote total is 13,707,808 as of 12:00 PM ET.

Posted by Speaker Mike Johnson, Checked

Polygraph verdictFalse
Sources
1 contradict1 support2 context
Said
1 time·
Confidence
50%
Speaker Mike Johnson@SpeakerJohnsonOct 27, 2026
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4 claimsThe check →

The claim's figure of 13,707,808 mail-in ballots nationally does not appear in any source. The only national mail-ballot count, from an unrated tracker (On Point) as of October 27, reports 16,371,084 mail ballots returned, which contradicts the claimed figure. The AP's 'more than 13 million' refers to mail-in and early in-person votes combined, not mail alone.

A detail. The sources confirm the gist; the verdict faults a detail such as a date, number or wording.

This claim is about the present, so it is judged as of the day it was checked.

What we found

Contradicts. The On Point tracker reports 16,371,084 mail ballots returned nationally as of October 27, 2026, about 2.7 million more than the claimed 13,707,808.[3]

Supports. AP reports that more than 13 million mail-in and early in-person votes had been cast nationally, versus 9 million at the same point in 2022. This is a combined total, not a mail-only figure, so it does not confirm the claim.[1]

Context. NBC's tracker shows 34,774,068 combined mail and in-person early votes nationally, and 58,152,051 ballots requested or sent. Neither figure is a mail-only returned total, so neither directly tests the claim.[4]

Context. The 13,707,808 figure is not stated by any source, and the sources do not give the 12:00 PM ET timestamp, so the exact claimed figure cannot be verified as of that time.[2][3][4]

Sources

4 sources: 1 fact-checker, 1 primary, 1 not rated, 1 tier 2

  1. 1Voter turnout is soaring in some key states, AP analysis ...apnews.com · fact-checker · cited for: supports
  2. 22026 Early Voting - UF Election Lab - University of Floridaelection.lab.ufl.edu · primary source · cited for: context
  3. 32026 Early Vote Tracker: Ballots Cast by State | On Point ...onpointpolitics.us · not rated · cited for: contradicts, context
  4. 4Tracking the 2026 Early Vote: Midterm Electionsnbcnews.com · tier 2 · cited for: context

Where this claim was made

Said in 1 published post

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