Flavio Bolsonaro lost to Lula da Silva in the Brazilian presidential runoff election.
Posted by Raging Moderates with Scott Galloway and Jessica Tarlov, Checked
- Sources
- 5 support1 context
- Said
- 2 times·
- Confidence
- 95%
Raging Moderates with Scott Galloway and Jessica TarlovOct 27, 2026
… But with seven toss-ups projected, both parties are relying on voter turnout. Will Democratic efforts be enough to deliver the “blue wave” many have predicted? Looking abroad, Brazilian incumbent leader Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva clinched a narrow victory over far-right opponent Flávio Bolsonaro. The result put an end to the wave of conservative wins in Latin America since Trump took office in 2025. Could this signal a change in global politics? …
Multiple tier1 and tier2 sources (Reuters results, AP, BBC, NPR) report that Lula defeated Flávio Bolsonaro in the October 25, 2026 presidential runoff, with Lula at about 51.8% to 48.2%. Bolsonaro refused to concede, but the claim's core assertion that he lost is consistently supported and the post's wording matches the claim.
This claim is in the show notes, the publisher's own words. It counts against the post, once.
What we found
Supports. Reuters live results show Lula at 51.8% and Flávio Bolsonaro at 48.2% with 100% of sections counted, and Lula passing the 50% threshold to win outright.[1]
Supports. AP reports Lula was reelected Sunday in the runoff, and BBC reports Bolsonaro was defeated by Lula in the runoff election.[2][3]
Supports. NPR reports the Liberal Party, Bolsonaro's party, recognized Lula's victory, though Bolsonaro himself has not conceded; the NYT also reports Lula won 51.8% to 48.2%.[4][5]
Context. Bolsonaro refused to concede and said he would seek to annul the result, but this does not change the fact that he lost the runoff.[6]
Sources
6 sources: 2 fact-checkers, 1 tier 1, 2 tier 2, 1 not rated
- 1Brazil runoff election resultsreuters.com · fact-checker · cited for: supports
- 2Lula’s win in Brazil bucks a regional shift to the right and denies Trump a powerful allyapnews.com · fact-checker · cited for: supports
- 3Brazilian authorities question whereabouts of Flávio Bolsonaro after he fails to surrender passportsbbc.com · tier 1 · cited for: supports
- 4Bolsonaro's party accepts Brazil election defeat, but he ...npr.org · tier 2 · cited for: supports
- 5What to know about Brazil's election and Flávio Bolsonaro's departurenytimes.com · tier 2 · cited for: supports
- 6Flávio rejects defeat after Lula wins historic presidential runoffvalorinternational.globo.com · not rated · cited for: context
Where this claim was made
Said in 2 published posts
Related claims
- Flavio Bolsonaro came in first in the Brazilian presidential election and will face incumbent President Lula in a runoff.True
- Flavio Bolsonaro has refused to recognize Lula da Silva's victory in the 2026 election.True
- Flavio Bolsonaro refuses to concede the election in Brazil.Mixed
- Lula won the presidential election over Bolsonaro in Brazil.True
- In the first runoff election, Jair Bolsonaro received 4 million more votes than Lula da Silva.False