Nevada early voting and mail-in ballot data indicates a trend favoring Democrats.
Posted by Raging Moderates with Scott Galloway and Jessica Tarlov, Checked
- Sources
- 3 support2 context
- Said
- 1 time·
- Confidence
- 65%
Raging Moderates with Scott Galloway and Jessica TarlovOct 27, 2026
As of 2026-10-27, Nevada early voting and mail ballot data showed Democrats leading, with mail ballots strongly favoring Democrats and an overall Democratic lead, though in-person early voting leaned Republican. The claim's 'trend favoring Democrats' reading is supported, but the sources are thin and largely from one reporter's blog chain, so confidence is moderate.
A guest makes this claim. Listeners heard it, so it counts against the post, and on the guest's own record.
This claim is about the present, so it is judged as of the day it was checked.
What was said
… You see the D number, but, I mean, the numbers are enormous, right? Talking about, like, D plus 20 advantages in some of these places, but watching the trend lines in Nevada and seeing the marriage between the early vote and the mail in ballots that are coming in, John Ralston, um, who's the guy for Nevada, tweeted out last night that is looking blue. So that's a good thing, obviously. What's going on in North Carolina, these Texas numbers, still love to see this. …
Raging Moderates with Scott Galloway and Jessica Tarlov · · from the transcriptPost →What we found
Supports. Jon Ralston's October 23 early voting update showed Democrats ahead in mail ballots by D+16,675 and overall by D+11,653, with a D+4.5 electorate.[1]
Supports. A KTNV report from October 29 said Democrats led statewide by nearly 30,000 votes, with a more than 36,000-vote lead in mail-in voting, while Republicans led in early in-person voting by about 7,000.[2]
Supports. The Nevada Independent's early voting blog reported the Democratic statewide lead at roughly 38,000 to 43,000 ballots in early October, and Clark County's firewall rising as the mail counts grew.[3]
Context. Republicans led in in-person early voting in several reports, so the Democratic advantage came mainly from mail ballots rather than uniformly across all early voting.[1][2]
Context. Later coverage published after the claim date (November 2) confirms Democrats led overall in mail ballots and combined early voting, consistent with the earlier data.[4][5]
Sources
5 sources: 5 not rated
- 1Jon Ralston on X: "The early voting blog is updated! Tons of data ...x.com · not rated · cited for: supports, context
- 2Top candidates agree: Everybody vote - KTNVktnv.com · not rated · cited for: supports, context
- 3The early voting blog, 2026 general - The Nevada Independentthenevadaindependent.com · not rated · cited for: supports
- 4Democrats take 6-point lead in Nevada early voting turnout over GOPrmb.reuters.com · not rated · cited for: context
- 5Democrats take 6-point lead in Nevada early voting turnout over GOPrgj.com · not rated · cited for: context
Where this claim was made
Said in 1 published post
Related claims
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