Polygraph

Latino voters helped carry Donald Trump to victory in 2024.

Posted by Raging Moderates with Scott Galloway and Jessica Tarlov, Checked

Polygraph verdictTrue
Sources
4 support3 context
Said
1 time·
Confidence
90%
Raging Moderates with Scott Galloway and Jessica TarlovOct 27, 2026
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… JoAnna Mendoza joins the show to talk about her candidacy in Arizona’s 6th District, where she faces a tight race against incumbent Republican Juan Ciscomani. She discusses major issues facing her district, including high cost-of-living and Medicaid cuts. Will financial strain be enough to sway Latino voters in the state, who helped carry Trump to victory in 2024? For ad-free episodes, exclusive livestreams, and to connect with Scott, Jessica, and the Raging Moderates community, join us at ProfG+ on Substack: https://ragingmoderates.profgmedia.com/ Get The Monday Rage newsletter: https://profgmedia.com/s/monday-rage/ …

56 claimsThe check →

Multiple sources, including AP, NBC News exit polls, and BBC, establish that Trump made large gains with Latino voters in 2024 and that this support helped propel him to victory. The claim departs from the passage only in the phrasing 'helped carry Donald Trump to victory,' which the passage itself states nearly verbatim, so it is graded normally.

This claim is in the show notes, the publisher's own words. It counts against the post, once.

What we found

Supports. AP reports Trump won over more Latino voters in 2024, with 43% of Latino voters nationally versus 35% in 2020, earning support that helped propel him to a second term.[1]

Supports. BBC reports that Trump's 2024 victory was achieved with the backing of millions of Latino voters helping to propel him over the finish line.[2]

Supports. NBC News exit polling found Latinos swung dramatically toward Trump, with his share rising to 45% from 32% in 2020, a gain that helped fuel his victory.[3]

Supports. Newsweek reports Trump's inroads with Latino voters helped carry him to victory in 2024, with his Latino share rising from 36% in 2020 to 48% in 2024 per Pew.[4]

Context. Exact Latino vote shares vary across sources (roughly 42% to 48%) depending on poll and projection, but all agree on a large Trump gain that was significant to his win.[3][5][6][7]

Sources

7 sources: 1 fact-checker, 1 tier 1, 1 tier 2, 4 not rated

  1. 1Trump’s gains among Latinos tested by ICE raids and rising ...apnews.com · fact-checker · cited for: supports
  2. 2Hispanic voters sent Trump back to power. Now some are ...bbc.com · tier 1 · cited for: supports
  3. 35 key takeaways from election night 2024nbcnews.com · tier 2 · cited for: supports, context
  4. 4One in Five Texas Latinos Who Voted for Trump Regret Their ...newsweek.com · not rated · cited for: supports
  5. 5How Latinos Voted in the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election | AS/COAas-coa.org · not rated · cited for: context
  6. 6Latino vote shifts toward Trump across the countrykcrg.com · not rated · cited for: context
  7. 7How 5 Key Demographic Groups Helped Trump Win the 2024 Electionusnews.com · not rated · cited for: context

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