Polygraph

Ballots cast by Black voters in North Carolina are up 63% from the same point in 2022.

Posted by Deadline: White House, Checked

Polygraph verdictTrue
Sources
3 support4 context
Said
1 time·
Confidence
65%
Deadline: White HouseOct 28, 2026
View on Podcast ↗
Video frame
44 claimsThe check →

Independent State Board of Elections data reported by the Washington Examiner on 2026-10-23 shows Black early voters at about 279,688 versus roughly 170,000 at the same point in 2022, a rise of about 64%, consistent with the claimed 63%.

The host relays this claim without endorsing it. It counts as passed on, not against the post.

This claim is about the present, so it is judged as of the day it was checked.

What was said

… In two states that track race as part of voter registration records, ballots cast by Black voters are a larger share of the early vote than in the previous midterm cycle. Ballots cast by Black voters in North Carolina are up 63% from the same point in 2022. In Georgia, they're up 15%, while ballots from white voters are down 3%. Black voters in Florida are using in-person early voting at twice the rate they did in 2022. That's according to Michael McDonald of the University of Florida Election Lab. …
Deadline: White House · · from the transcriptPost →

What we found

Supports. The Washington Examiner, citing State Board of Elections data, reports 279,688 Black voters had cast ballots by Thursday, October 22, against roughly 170,000 at the same point in 2022, an increase of about 64%.[1]

Supports. The Washington Examiner also reports a more than 60% increase in ballots cast by Black voters compared with the same point in 2022, matching the claimed magnitude.[1]

Supports. CityView and The Assembly report a 70% increase over 2022 among Black North Carolinians in the first days of early voting, showing the rise was sustained across the period.[2][3]

Context. The Charlie Sykes substack repeats the Bloomberg-quoted 63% figure without independent data, so it adds no corroboration on its own.[4]

Context. Black voters' share of early ballots (about 22%) exceeds their share of registered voters (about 19%), and overall NC early voting was up roughly 30-38% over 2022.[5][6][7]

Sources

7 sources: 7 not rated

  1. 1Early tallies show black voters turning out in big numbers ...washingtonexaminer.com · not rated · cited for: supports
  2. 2Democrats Are Trouncing Republicans In Early Votingtheassemblync.com · not rated · cited for: supports
  3. 3Democrats Are Trouncing Republicans In Early Votingcityviewnc.com · not rated · cited for: supports
  4. 4“The Fierce Urgency of Now”charliesykes.substack.com · not rated · cited for: context
  5. 5One week until midterm elections, early voting continues to ...abc11.com · not rated · cited for: context
  6. 6Democrats hold early voting lead in North Carolina, state data showsnewsobserver.com · not rated · cited for: context
  7. 7North Carolina early voting surges ahead of midtermsaxios.com · not rated · cited for: context

Where this claim was made

Said in 1 published post

How Polygraph checks a claim

Our Weekly Newsletter

The Readout

The week's most-shared posts, checked. What they claimed, how they argued, and what held up.

Unsubscribe any time. See our privacy policy.